Anthony Lopes
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Anthony Lopes's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Above average | 62th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 35.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €616k vs market €900k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -34% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2789 (91% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 62 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1304
- Opponent strength
- 1484
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €288k – €685k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 40 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -59% (IQR -67% to -47%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Age 36: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | GK | 31 | 2789 | 91% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1484 | 1304 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | GK | 18 | 1564 | 51% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1455 | 1357 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | GK | 31 | 2790 | 91% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1479 | 1521 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | GK | 32 | 2817 | 82% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1443 | 1549 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | GK | 34 | 2984 | 87% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1418 | 1587 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | GK | 38 | 3420 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1433 | 1587 | 0.75 |
| 2019/20 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | GK | 26 | 2340 | 93% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1427 | 1566 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | GK | 34 | 3060 | 89% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1445 | 1604 | 0.82 |
| 2017/18 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | GK | 34 | 3060 | 89% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1449 | 1645 | 0.85 |
| 2016/17 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | GK | 37 | 3285 | 96% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 1427 | 1604 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | GK | 37 | 3330 | 97% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1441 | 1533 | 0.78 |
| 2014/15 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | GK | 38 | 3420 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 1428 | 1581 | 0.80 |
| 2013/14 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | GK | 32 | 2822 | 83% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1471 | 1497 | 0.79 |
| 2012/13 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | GK | 5 | 450 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1502 | 1561 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Olympique Lyon | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0 | 1540 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Olympique Lyon | 10 | 900 | 0 | 0 | 1700 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Olympique Lyon | 8 | 664 | 0 | 0 | 1733 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Olympique Lyon | 10 | 900 | 0 | 0 | 1522 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Olympique Lyon | 8 | 750 | 0 | 0 | 1611 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | Olympique Lyon | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1640 |
| 2016/17 | Trophee Des Champions | Olympique Lyon | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1748 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Champions League | Olympique Lyon | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1598 |
| 2015/16 | Trophee Des Champions | Olympique Lyon | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1690 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Olympique Lyon | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1453 |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League | Olympique Lyon | 9 | 810 | 0 | 0 | 1548 |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Olympique Lyon | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1525 |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Europa League | Olympique Lyon | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1341 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Mirante Serie A · 2018 | 35 | €1.0M | €650k | fell |
| Ludovic Butelle Ligue 1 · 2019 | 36 | €500k | €250k | fell |
| Vladimir Gabulov Premier Liga · 2018 | 35 | €700k | €600k | flat |
| Benoît Costil Ligue 1 · 2022 | 35 | €1.5M | €600k | fell |
| David Yurchenko Premier Liga · 2018 | 32 | €1.5M | €475k | fell |
| Sammy Bossut Jupiler Pro League · 2019 | 34 | €600k | €250k | fell |
| Salvatore Sirigu Serie A · 2022 | 35 | €1.5M | €275k | fell |
| Charles Itandje Super Lig · 2016 | 34 | €1.5M | €500k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2025 | Lyon | FC Nantes | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Olymp. Lyon B | Lyon | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2008 | Olymp. Lyon U19 | Olymp. Lyon B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2006 | Ol. Lyon Yth. | Olymp. Lyon U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.