Gustavo Klismahn
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Gustavo Klismahn's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.89x the positional average in the league (1110 minutes, league coefficient 0.58). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 98
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 16.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €204k vs market €500k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +3% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.58 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1110 (36% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.16
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.36
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 16 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.58 (rank 9)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1276
- Opponent strength
- 1345
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €312k – €651k
Trajectory drivers: role change CM -> AM; relative output down 52% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -8% (IQR -44% to +1%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1110 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 58 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 72%–151%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | CD Santa Clara | Liga Portugal | AM | 16 | 1110 | 36% | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | 0.36 | 1345 | 1275 | 0.58 |
| 2024/25 | CD Santa Clara | Liga Portugal | CM | 17 | 824 | 27% | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 0.39 | 1390 | 1276 | 0.51 |
| 2022/23 | Portimonense SC | Liga Portugal | CM | 15 | 700 | 23% | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.24 | 1414 | 1224 | 0.68 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benoît Ladrière Jupiler Pro League · 2013 | 26 | €400k | €200k | fell |
| Bruno Ramires Liga Portugal · 2021 | 27 | €400k | €375k | flat |
| Mikkel Duelund Eredivisie · 2023 | 26 | €700k | €300k | fell |
| Oleg Gerasymyuk Premier Liga · 2014 | 28 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Srdjan Mijailovic Premier Liga · 2020 | 27 | €700k | €1.0M | rose |
| Remi Mulumba Jupiler Pro League · 2019 | 27 | €550k | €500k | flat |
| Arthur Henrique Liga Portugal · 2020 | 26 | €475k | €500k | flat |
| Igor Gorbunov Premier Liga · 2022 | 28 | €600k | €350k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025 | Vissel Kobe | Santa Clara | Free / loan | €500k |
| 3 Mar 2025 | Santa Clara | Vissel Kobe | Free / loan | €650k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Portimonense | Santa Clara | Free / loan | €550k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Santa Clara | Portimonense | Free / loan | €550k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Portimonense | Santa Clara | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Alverca | Portimonense | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Estoril U23 | Alverca | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Desportivo U20 | Estoril U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.