Tanguy Coulibaly
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Tanguy Coulibaly's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.86x the positional average in the league (747 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 22.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €805k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -15% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 747 (24% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.24
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.34
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 22 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1310
- Opponent strength
- 1299
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €510k – €1.6M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 23 pts; changed club; team strength up (+74 Elo); league level down (-197 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -31% (IQR -58% to -7%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 747 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 79%–133%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 58%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Samsunspor | Super Lig | RW | 13 | 747 | 24% | 2 | 0 | 0.24 | 0.34 | 1299 | 1310 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Montpellier HSC | Ligue 1 | RW | 25 | 1461 | 48% | 3 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.32 | 1457 | 1236 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | Montpellier HSC | Ligue 1 | RW | 16 | 622 | 20% | 1 | 1 | 0.29 | 0.48 | 1511 | 1434 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | RW | 14 | 316 | 10% | 4 | 0 | 1.14 | 0.72 | 1559 | 1429 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | RM | 21 | 1082 | 35% | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 0.30 | 1558 | 1425 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | RM | 31 | 1508 | 49% | 2 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 1580 | 1462 | 1.06 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 47 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 58 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anastasios Chatzigiovanis Super League 1 · 2022 | 25 | €1.5M | €1.8M | rose |
| Sloan Privat Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 25 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Oğulcan Çağlayan Super Lig · 2021 | 25 | €800k | €425k | fell |
| Emre Mor Super Lig · 2024 | 27 | €2.0M | €500k | fell |
| Enzo Crivelli Super Lig · 2022 | 27 | €1.8M | €900k | fell |
| Selim Ilgaz Super Lig · 2021 | 26 | €2.0M | €250k | fell |
| Houssam Ghacha Super Lig · 2022 | 27 | €1.1M | €1.0M | flat |
| Ramazan Civelek Super Lig · 2022 | 26 | €1.1M | €1.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Sept 2025 | Montpellier | Samsunspor | €600k | €1.5M |
| 4 Dec 2023 | Without Club | Montpellier | Unknown | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Stuttgart | Without Club | Unknown | €2.5M |
| 2 Jul 2019 | Paris SG U19 | Stuttgart | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Paris SG U17 | Paris SG U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.