James Tavernier

The model rates James Tavernier's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

2170 (73% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.50

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.29

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

76 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.31 (rank 26)

Team strength (Elo)

1427

Opponent strength

1168

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

improving

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€114k – €417k

Trajectory drivers: relative output up 45% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -71% (IQR -76% to -55%).

• ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ▲Age 35: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
• ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

16 (DEF)

Relative output kept

90%–275%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

75%

Confidence

Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.