Daniil Khlusevich
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Daniil Khlusevich's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-1.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-2.6M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 23.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €738k vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -31% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 490 (18% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.12
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 23 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1321
- Opponent strength
- 1266
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €777k – €2.6M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-149 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -65% to -17%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 490 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 48%–200%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | Premier Liga | RB | 8 | 364 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1266 | 1279 | 0.56 |
| 2025/26 | FK Spartak Moskva | Premier Liga | RB | 3 | 126 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1248 | 1443 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | FK Spartak Moskva | Premier Liga | RB | 13 | 703 | 26% | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 1277 | 1470 | 0.55 |
| 2023/24 | FK Spartak Moskva | Premier Liga | LB | 24 | 1826 | 68% | 5 | 2 | 0.35 | 0.24 | 1321 | 1383 | 0.49 |
| 2022/23 | FK Spartak Moskva | Premier Liga | LB | 26 | 1945 | 72% | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | 0.12 | 1315 | 1394 | 0.53 |
| 2021/22 | Arsenal Tula | Premier Liga | RM | 16 | 1212 | 45% | 4 | 2 | 0.45 | 0.54 | 1365 | 1143 | 0.52 |
| 2021/22 | FK Spartak Moskva | Premier Liga | RM | 9 | 662 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1339 | 1359 | 0.52 |
| 2020/21 | Arsenal Tula | Premier Liga | RM | 25 | 1245 | 46% | 3 | 4 | 0.51 | 0.43 | 1337 | 1216 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | Arsenal Tula | Premier Liga | RB | 5 | 367 | 14% | 1 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.16 | 1322 | 1327 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | FK Spartak Moskva | 7 | 395 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | FK Spartak Moskva | 5 | 311 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Russian Cup | FK Spartak Moskva | 9 | 724 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2022/23 | Russian Cup | FK Spartak Moskva | 8 | 603 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Russian Super Cup | FK Spartak Moskva | 1 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1530 |
| 2021/22 | Russian Cup | FK Spartak Moskva | 3 | 270 | 0 | 3 | — |
| 2021/22 | Russian Cup | Arsenal Tula | 2 | 168 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Russian Cup | Arsenal Tula | 3 | 224 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Kane Eredivisie · 2018 | 25 | €1.3M | €800k | fell |
| Alper Uludağ Super Lig · 2016 | 26 | €1.0M | €350k | fell |
| Mohamed Réda Halaïmia Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 25 | €750k | €600k | fell |
| Rick van Drongelen Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 24 | €1.5M | €1.4M | flat |
| Sherel Floranus Super Lig · 2023 | 25 | €800k | €850k | flat |
| Musa Nizam Super Lig · 2016 | 26 | €750k | €250k | fell |
| Mert Çetin Super Lig · 2023 | 26 | €1.2M | €700k | fell |
| Özgür Cek Super Lig · 2016 | 25 | €1.3M | €350k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Akhmat Grozny | Spartak Moscow | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 18 Feb 2026 | Spartak Moscow | Akhmat Grozny | Free / loan | €2.8M |
| 1 Jan 2022 | Arsenal Tula | Spartak Moscow | €3.0M | €3.5M |
| 1 Aug 2020 | Arsenal Tula II | Arsenal Tula | Unknown | €450k |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Krasnolesje | Arsenal Tula II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.