Daan Dierckx
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Daan Dierckx's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-2.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 17
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 20.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €1.6M vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -21% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1176 (44% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 21 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1341
- Opponent strength
- 1370
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €610k – €2.6M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 24 pts; relative output down 32% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -29% (IQR -60% to +71%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1176 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 18 | 1176 | 44% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1370 | 1341 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 7 | 527 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1325 | 1317 | 0.63 |
| 2020/21 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A | CB | 7 | 473 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1430 | 1252 | 0.90 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Standard Liège | 2 | 145 | 0 | 0 | 1361 |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Parma Calcio 1913 | 1 | 76 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bart Nieuwkoop Eredivisie · 2020 | 24 | €1.2M | €2.5M | rose |
| Koffi Djidji Ligue 1 · 2016 | 24 | €1.5M | €3.5M | rose |
| Khadim Rassoul Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 22 | €1.0M | €400k | fell |
| Roderick Miranda Liga Portugal · 2014 | 23 | €1.0M | €750k | fell |
| Nikolay Poyarkov Premier Liga · 2021 | 22 | €900k | €350k | fell |
| Aleksandr Filin Premier Liga · 2021 | 25 | €1.2M | €800k | fell |
| Steeve Yago Ligue 1 · 2016 | 24 | €1.3M | €2.0M | rose |
| Ümit Kurt Super Lig · 2017 | 26 | €1.0M | €300k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | SL16 FC | Standard Liège | Unknown | €400k |
| 3 Sept 2023 | Parma | SL16 FC | Unknown | €350k |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Jong Genk | Parma | Free / loan | €350k |
| 12 Aug 2022 | Parma | Jong Genk | Free / loan | €600k |
| 1 Jan 2021 | KRC Genk U18 | Parma | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | KRC Genk Youth | KRC Genk U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.