Lyall Cameron
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Lyall Cameron's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-2.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.66x the positional average in the league (875 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 10.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €745k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -11% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 875 (30% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.28
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 10 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1185
- Opponent strength
- 1207
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €536k – €2.2M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 48 pts; changed club; team strength up (+63 Elo); role change CM -> AM; relative output down 58% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -17% (IQR -27% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 875 league minutes last season.
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 10 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–107%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 80%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Aberdeen FC | Scottish Premiership | AM | 10 | 689 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 1207 | 1119 | 0.31 |
| 2025/26 | Rangers FC | Scottish Premiership | CM | 6 | 186 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1148 | 1427 | 0.31 |
| 2024/25 | Dundee FC | Scottish Premiership | CM | 28 | 2309 | 78% | 5 | 4 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 1210 | 1122 | 0.34 |
| 2023/24 | Dundee FC | Scottish Premiership | CM | 28 | 1974 | 66% | 5 | 0 | 0.23 | 0.26 | 1255 | 1153 | 0.34 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Rangers FC | 4 | 236 | 1 | 0 | 1526 |
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Aberdeen FC | 3 | 214 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Scottish Fa Cup | Dundee FC | 2 | 161 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Scottish Fa Cup | Peterhead FC | 1 | 15 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ufuk Akyol Super Lig · 2021 | 24 | €1.3M | €1.2M | flat |
| Ryan Strain Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 27 | €850k | €450k | fell |
| Jake Doyle-Hayes Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 25 | €500k | €375k | fell |
| Jacob Christensen Superliga · 2022 | 21 | €1.3M | €1.5M | flat |
| Chris Cadden Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 23 | €700k | €700k | flat |
| Aguibou Camara Super League 1 · 2023 | 22 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Sambou Sissoko Premier Liga · 2024 | 25 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Andreas Tatos Super League 1 · 2015 | 26 | €800k | €600k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May 2026 | Aberdeen FC | Rangers | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Rangers | Aberdeen FC | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2025 | Dundee FC | Rangers | Unknown | €1.8M |
| 11 May 2022 | Montrose | Dundee FC | Free / loan | €50k |
| 25 Feb 2022 | Dundee FC | Montrose | Free / loan | €50k |
| 3 Jan 2022 | Peterhead | Dundee FC | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Dundee FC | Peterhead | Free / loan | €50k |
| 5 May 2021 | Peterhead | Dundee FC | Free / loan | €50k |
| 19 Mar 2021 | Dundee FC | Peterhead | Free / loan | €50k |
| 13 Jan 2021 | Peterhead | Dundee FC | Free / loan | €50k |
| 6 Oct 2020 | Dundee FC | Peterhead | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Dundee U18 | Dundee FC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Dundee U17 | Dundee U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.