Teo Quintero
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Teo Quintero's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 85
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 19.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €446k vs market €1.3M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -27% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2469 (81% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 19 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1213
- Opponent strength
- 1291
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €536k – €1.6M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 62 pts; team strength down (-87 Elo); role change CB -> LB; relative output down 63% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -26% (IQR -45% to -20%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 65%–166%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | LB | 31 | 2469 | 81% | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1291 | 1213 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | CB | 12 | 571 | 19% | 1 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.10 | 1241 | 1300 | 0.50 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherel Floranus Eredivisie · 2024 | 26 | €700k | €800k | flat |
| Murat Paluli Super Lig · 2021 | 27 | €1.2M | €800k | fell |
| Aleksandar Radovanovic Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 29 | €1.2M | €900k | fell |
| Jerry Vandam Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 26 | €800k | €250k | fell |
| Kasper Larsen Superliga · 2021 | 28 | €500k | €400k | fell |
| Majid Hosseini Super Lig · 2022 | 26 | €3.0M | €2.2M | fell |
| Epaminondas Pantelakis Super League 1 · 2023 | 28 | €500k | €400k | fell |
| Cédric Gogoua Premier Liga · 2021 | 27 | €700k | €150k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | KMSK Deinze | Sparta R. | Free / loan | €600k |
| 5 Jul 2022 | CE Sabadell | KMSK Deinze | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Hércules CF | CE Sabadell | Free / loan | €100k |
| 26 Aug 2019 | CF Peralada | Hércules CF | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Girona U19 | CF Peralada | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | CF Damm Youth | Girona U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.