Iván Romero
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Iván Romero's performance-implied value at EUR 2.9M-7.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 5.8M-13.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.2M-12.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.93x the positional average in the league (2280 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 33
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 56.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €8.8M vs market €8.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -4% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2280 (67% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.35
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.47
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 56 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1420
- Opponent strength
- 1489
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €4.2M – €12.5M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -24% (IQR -40% to +61%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Levante UD | Laliga | ST | 32 | 2280 | 67% | 7 | 2 | 0.36 | 0.47 | 1489 | 1420 | 0.95 |
| 2022/23 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | ST | 1 | 10 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.38 | 1446 | 1583 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | ST | 5 | 178 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 1522 | 1636 | 1.05 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Levante UD | 2 | 40 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | CD Tenerife | 1 | 45 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 4 | 142 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Sevilla FC | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1614 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Famara Diédhiou Ligue 1 · 2017 | 25 | €4.0M | €6.0M | rose |
| Nikola Krstović Serie A · 2024 | 24 | €6.0M | €30.0M | rose |
| Alberto Paloschi Serie A · 2015 | 25 | €6.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Mattia Destro Serie A · 2017 | 26 | €8.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Shon Weissman Laliga · 2021 | 25 | €6.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Beto Serie A · 2022 | 24 | €10.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Manuel Pucciarelli Serie A · 2015 | 24 | €3.5M | €3.0M | flat |
| Josip Brekalo Serie A · 2022 | 24 | €15.0M | €3.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2023 | Sevilla FC | Levante | €100k | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2023 | CD Tenerife | Sevilla FC | Free / loan | €800k |
| 31 Aug 2022 | Sevilla FC | CD Tenerife | Free / loan | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Sevilla Atl. | Sevilla FC | Unknown | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Sevilla FC U19 | Sevilla Atl. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Sevilla FC U18 | Sevilla FC U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Albacete Balomp | Sevilla FC U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.