Rhaldney
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Rhaldney's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.85x the positional average in the league (2082 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 72
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 16.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €668k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -18% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2082 (68% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.13
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.18
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 17 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 9)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1279
- Opponent strength
- 1282
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €492k – €1.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -24% (IQR -52% to +3%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 35 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–144%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Göztepe | Super Lig | CM | 18 | 1087 | 36% | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 1282 | 1281 | 0.40 |
| 2025/26 | FC Alverca | Liga Portugal | CM | 14 | 995 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.19 | 1333 | 1277 | 0.58 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evgeniy Kharin Premier Liga · 2022 | 27 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Jorman Campuzano Super Lig · 2023 | 27 | €1.5M | €1.7M | flat |
| Halil Akbunar Super Lig · 2020 | 27 | €1.1M | €3.5M | rose |
| Yevgen Banada Premier Liga · 2021 | 29 | €700k | €300k | fell |
| Martín Tonso Super League 1 · 2017 | 28 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Andi Lila Super League 1 · 2014 | 28 | €800k | €700k | flat |
| Alen Halilovic Eredivisie · 2024 | 28 | €1.3M | €400k | fell |
| Lucas Villafañez Super Lig · 2019 | 28 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Alverca | Göztepe | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 2 Feb 2026 | Göztepe | Alverca | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 10 Jul 2025 | Atlético-GO | Göztepe | Free / loan | €600k |
| 19 Jul 2022 | Náutico | Atlético-GO | €150k | €600k |
| 3 Dec 2018 | Náutico U20 | Náutico | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.