Ángel Algobia
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ángel Algobia's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.54x the positional average in the league (1081 minutes, league coefficient 0.58). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 99
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 13th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €201k vs market €500k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +5% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.58 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1081 (35% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.08
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.19
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 13 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.58 (rank 9)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1182
- Opponent strength
- 1367
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €306k – €727k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -29% (IQR -49% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1081 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 58 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 72%–151%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Avs Futebol | Liga Portugal | DM | 21 | 1081 | 35% | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.19 | 1367 | 1182 | 0.58 |
| 2022/23 | Getafe CF | Laliga | DM | 26 | 1130 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1534 | 1434 | 0.98 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Getafe CF | 3 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Crivellaro Liga Portugal · 2017 | 28 | €600k | €350k | fell |
| Sérgio Marakis Liga Portugal · 2019 | 28 | €300k | €100k | fell |
| Filip Rogic Premier Liga · 2020 | 27 | €800k | €600k | fell |
| Jeffrey Rijsdijk Eredivisie · 2014 | 27 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Bruno Almeida Liga Portugal · 2023 | 27 | €450k | €700k | rose |
| Gennadiy Pasich Premier Liga · 2019 | 26 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Joe Chalmers Scottish Premiership · 2020 | 26 | €300k | €200k | fell |
| Vitaliy Fedotov Premier Liga · 2018 | 27 | €500k | €150k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul 2025 | Levante | Avs FS | Free / loan | €800k |
| 10 Aug 2023 | Getafe | Levante | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 11 Aug 2022 | Getafe CF B | Getafe | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Aug 2020 | Rayo B | Getafe CF B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Rayo U19 | Rayo B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Rayo Youth | Rayo U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.