
Gennadiy Pasich
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Gennadiy Pasich's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 67
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 30.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €87k vs market €300k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -42% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2490 (92% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.04
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 30 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1242
- Opponent strength
- 1172
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €61k – €262k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 20 pts; team strength up (+132 Elo); role change LM -> RB; relative output down 41% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -61% to -32%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 11 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 108%–176%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 82%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | LNZ Cherkasy | Premier Liga | RB | 30 | 2490 | 92% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 1172 | 1242 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | LNZ Cherkasy | Premier Liga | LM | 29 | 1952 | 72% | 3 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.18 | 1208 | 1110 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | LNZ Cherkasy | Premier Liga | LM | 28 | 1956 | 72% | 2 | 2 | 0.18 | 0.25 | 1260 | 1179 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | NK Veres Rivne | Premier Liga | LM | 24 | 2050 | 76% | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.15 | 1272 | 1211 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | NK Veres Rivne | Premier Liga | LM | 17 | 1481 | 91% | 3 | 2 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 1310 | 1319 | 0.45 |
| 2019/20 | Olimpik Donetsk | Premier Liga | RM | 9 | 344 | 17% | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | 0.36 | 1386 | 1221 | 0.54 |
| 2019/20 | Karpaty Lviv (-2021) | Premier Liga | LM | 3 | 270 | 14% | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0.27 | 1240 | 1195 | 0.54 |
| 2018/19 | Olimpik Donetsk | Premier Liga | LM | 13 | 681 | 34% | 2 | 0 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 1378 | 1270 | 0.57 |
| 2017/18 | NK Veres Rivne | Premier Liga | LM | 15 | 419 | 21% | 1 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.34 | 1293 | 1364 | 0.62 |
| 2017/18 | Olimpik Donetsk | Premier Liga | LM | 4 | 288 | 15% | 0 | 1 | 0.31 | 0.35 | 1334 | 1317 | 0.62 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | LNZ Cherkasy | 4 | 285 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | LNZ Cherkasy | 1 | 38 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | LNZ Cherkasy | 1 | 74 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Ukrainian Cup | NK Veres Rivne | 2 | 111 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | Olimpik Donetsk | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Ukrainian Cup | Olimpik Donetsk | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Ukrainian Cup | NK Veres Rivne | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Obita Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 31 | €400k | €150k | fell |
| Igor Perduta Premier Liga · 2024 | 34 | €250k | €100k | fell |
| Artem Shabanov Premier Liga · 2024 | 32 | €300k | €200k | fell |
| Paul Hanlon Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 33 | €350k | €250k | fell |
| Dani Castellano Super League 1 · 2022 | 35 | €150k | €150k | flat |
| Marcus Fraser Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 30 | €500k | €250k | fell |
| Paul McGinn Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 34 | €200k | €100k | fell |
| Caner Osmanpaşa Super Lig · 2022 | 34 | €400k | €100k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Veres Rivne | LNZ Cherkasy | Free / loan | €400k |
| 26 Aug 2020 | Karpaty | Veres Rivne | Free / loan | €300k |
| 18 Feb 2020 | Olimpik Donetsk | Karpaty Lviv | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Feb 2018 | Veres Rivne | Olimpik Donetsk | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Naftovyk | Veres Rivne | Free / loan | €175k |
| 23 Jul 2014 | Dnipro II | Naftovyk | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2014 | Naftovyk | Dnipro II | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 27 Feb 2014 | Dnipro II | Naftovyk | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Dnipro-2 | Dnipro II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Inter Dnipro | Dnipro-2 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.