Gennadiy Pasich

33 yrs · Left midfielder (also RB, RM) · Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 174 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€300k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€65k – €224k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€166k – €449k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€61k – €262k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€58k – €384k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€65k – €224k
Model value (performance-implied)€166k – €449k
Projected value (24 months)€61k – €262k
Dashed line: current market value (€300k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Gennadiy Pasich's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 67

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average30.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable33 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €87k vs market €300k
Expected appreciationVery low-42% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €500k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2490 (92% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.04
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.07
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
30 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1242
Opponent strength
1172
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€61k – €262k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 20 pts; team strength up (+132 Elo); role change LM -> RB; relative output down 41% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -61% to -32%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
  • ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
11 (DEF)
Relative output kept
108%–176%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
82%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26LNZ CherkasyPremier LigaRB30249092%100.040.07117212420.25
2024/25LNZ CherkasyPremier LigaLM29195272%300.140.18120811100.28
2023/24LNZ CherkasyPremier LigaLM28195672%220.180.25126011790.34
2022/23NK Veres RivnePremier LigaLM24205076%110.090.15127212110.38
2021/22NK Veres RivnePremier LigaLM17148191%320.300.25131013190.45
2019/20Olimpik DonetskPremier LigaRM934417%010.260.36138612210.54
2019/20Karpaty Lviv (-2021)Premier LigaLM327014%010.330.27124011950.54
2018/19Olimpik DonetskPremier LigaLM1368134%200.260.34137812700.57
2017/18NK Veres RivnePremier LigaLM1541921%100.210.34129313640.62
2017/18Olimpik DonetskPremier LigaLM428815%010.310.35133413170.62

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Ukrainian CupLNZ Cherkasy428500—
2024/25Ukrainian CupLNZ Cherkasy13800—
2023/24Ukrainian CupLNZ Cherkasy17400—
2021/22Ukrainian CupNK Veres Rivne211100—
2019/20Ukrainian CupOlimpik Donetsk19000—
2018/19Ukrainian CupOlimpik Donetsk112000—
2017/18Ukrainian CupNK Veres Rivne221000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Jordan Obita
Scottish Premiership · 2024
31€400k€150kfell
Igor Perduta
Premier Liga · 2024
34€250k€100kfell
Artem Shabanov
Premier Liga · 2024
32€300k€200kfell
Paul Hanlon
Scottish Premiership · 2023
33€350k€250kfell
Dani Castellano
Super League 1 · 2022
35€150k€150kflat
Marcus Fraser
Scottish Premiership · 2024
30€500k€250kfell
Paul McGinn
Scottish Premiership · 2024
34€200k€100kfell
Caner Osmanpaşa
Super Lig · 2022
34€400k€100kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2023Veres RivneLNZ CherkasyFree / loan€400k
26 Aug 2020KarpatyVeres RivneFree / loan€300k
18 Feb 2020Olimpik DonetskKarpaty LvivFree / loan€300k
1 Feb 2018Veres RivneOlimpik DonetskFree / loan€200k
1 Jul 2017NaftovykVeres RivneFree / loan€175k
23 Jul 2014Dnipro IINaftovykFree / loanData unavailable
30 Jun 2014NaftovykDnipro IIFree / loanData unavailable
27 Feb 2014Dnipro IINaftovykFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2011Dnipro-2Dnipro IIUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010Inter DniproDnipro-2Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Gennadiy Pasich · MoneyballAI