Mohamed Nassoh
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mohamed Nassoh's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.10x the positional average in the league (1826 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 89
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 13.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €489k vs market €700k |
| Expected appreciation | High | +11% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1826 (60% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.30
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.44
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 13 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1118
- Opponent strength
- 1320
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €420k – €1.2M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-182 Elo); role change LW -> AM; relative output up 55% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +55% (IQR +28% to +108%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | NAC Breda | Eredivisie | AM | 28 | 1826 | 60% | 5 | 1 | 0.30 | 0.44 | 1320 | 1118 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | LW | 30 | 1615 | 53% | 2 | 2 | 0.22 | 0.30 | 1302 | 1300 | 0.50 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | NAC Breda | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 210 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melker Hallberg Superliga · 2019 | 24 | €400k | €600k | rose |
| Yan Dhanda Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 25 | €750k | €700k | flat |
| Endri Cekici Super Lig · 2021 | 25 | €1.0M | €3.2M | rose |
| Mathías Tomás Super League 1 · 2024 | 23 | €500k | €900k | rose |
| Kostakis Artymatas Super League 1 · 2018 | 25 | €500k | €800k | rose |
| Victor Loturi Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 22 | €350k | €500k | rose |
| Mads Frøkjær Superliga · 2022 | 23 | €800k | €3.2M | rose |
| Craig Slater Scottish Premiership · 2016 | 22 | €300k | €250k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2025 | Sparta R. | NAC Breda | €400k | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | PSV U21 | Sparta R. | Free / loan | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | PSV U18 | PSV U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | PSV U17 | PSV U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | PSV Yth. | PSV U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.