Yan Dhanda
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yan Dhanda's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.60x the positional average in the league (1888 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 90
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 11.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €221k vs market €400k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -10% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1888 (64% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.10
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.24
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 12 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1121
- Opponent strength
- 1202
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €211k – €519k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 41 pts; changed club; team strength down (-116 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -32% (IQR -59% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 10 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–107%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 80%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dundee FC | Scottish Premiership | AM | 25 | 1888 | 64% | 2 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.24 | 1202 | 1121 | 0.31 |
| 2024/25 | Heart of Midlothian FC | Scottish Premiership | AM | 20 | 678 | 23% | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.27 | 1231 | 1237 | 0.34 |
| 2023/24 | Ross County FC | Scottish Premiership | AM | 30 | 2124 | 72% | 3 | 5 | 0.34 | 0.50 | 1276 | 1094 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Ross County FC | Scottish Premiership | AM | 25 | 1589 | 54% | 3 | 4 | 0.40 | 0.47 | 1312 | 1137 | 0.40 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Dundee FC | 2 | 195 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Scottish Fa Cup | Heart of Midlothian FC | 1 | 69 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Heart of Midlothian FC | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1601 |
| 2023/24 | Scottish Fa Cup | Ross County FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Scottish Fa Cup | Ross County FC | 1 | 97 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soner Dikmen Super Lig · 2021 | 28 | €550k | €2.6M | rose |
| Craig Sibbald Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 28 | €375k | €350k | flat |
| Dmytro Kravchenko Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €300k | €100k | fell |
| Harry Paton Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 26 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Valeriy Luchkevych Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €600k | €250k | fell |
| Aron Elís Thrándarson Superliga · 2022 | 28 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Igor Kyryukhantsev Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €800k | €400k | fell |
| Scott Robertson Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 29 | €650k | €250k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May 2026 | Dundee FC | Heart of Midl. | Free / loan | €400k |
| 8 Aug 2025 | Heart of Midl. | Dundee FC | Free / loan | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Ross County | Heart of Midl. | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Swansea | Ross County | Free / loan | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Liverpool U23 | Swansea | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Liverpool U18 | Liverpool U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Liverpool Youth | Liverpool U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | West Brom Yth. | Liverpool Youth | €275k | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.