
Odilon Kossounou
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Odilon Kossounou's performance-implied value at EUR 7.1M-19.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 9.9M-20.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.0M-18.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 19
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 77.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €13.9M vs market €15.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -30% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 985 (29% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.09
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 78 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1588
- Opponent strength
- 1476
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €5.0M – €18.2M
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-91 Elo); relative output up 203% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -47% (IQR -70% to -10%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 985 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CB | 19 | 985 | 29% | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.06 | 1476 | 1588 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CB | 18 | 1125 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1439 | 1679 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | CB | 22 | 1812 | 59% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 1503 | 1787 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | CB | 24 | 1519 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 1557 | 1601 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | CB | 27 | 1790 | 58% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 1524 | 1639 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 27 | 2195 | 72% | 1 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 1326 | 1570 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 7 | 406 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1402 | 1578 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 10 | 812 | 0 | 0 | 1651 |
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Ivory Coast | 4 | 360 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Ivory Coast | 3 | 181 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 3 | 89 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 4 | 265 | 0 | 2 | 1544 |
| 2024/25 | Supercoppa Italiana | Atalanta BC | 1 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 1833 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 292 | 0 | 0 | 1540 |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 191 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5 | 429 | 0 | 0 | 1618 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5 | 187 | 0 | 0 | 1515 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5 | 301 | 0 | 0 | 1478 |
| 2021/22 | Volkswagen Supercup | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1414 |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | 1616 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1504 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1731 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1666 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Tierney Laliga · 2024 | 27 | €12.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Davide Santon Serie A · 2016 | 25 | €7.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Mattia Caldara Serie A · 2020 | 26 | €11.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Reto Ziegler Super Lig · 2013 | 27 | €6.5M | €1.3M | fell |
| Kasim Adams Bundesliga · 2019 | 24 | €7.0M | €1.7M | fell |
| Martín Cáceres Serie A · 2013 | 26 | €9.0M | €8.5M | flat |
| Aleksandar Kolarov Premier League · 2013 | 28 | €12.5M | €11.0M | flat |
| Loïc Badé Laliga · 2023 | 23 | €12.0M | €25.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Leverkusen | Atalanta | €19.3M | €25.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Atalanta | Leverkusen | Free / loan | €25.0M |
| 28 Aug 2024 | Leverkusen | Atalanta | Free / loan | €35.0M |
| 22 Jul 2021 | Club Brugge | Leverkusen | €23.0M | €13.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Hammarby | Club Brugge | €3.9M | €2.8M |
| 12 Jan 2019 | ASEC Mimosas | Hammarby | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.