Odilon Kossounou

25 yrs · Centre-back · Cote d'Ivoire
Atalanta BC · Serie A · Foot: right · Height: 191 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€15.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€9.9M – €20.3M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€7.1M – €19.8M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€5.0M – €18.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€13.2M – €10.0M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€9.9M – €20.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€7.1M – €19.8M
Projected value (24 months)€5.0M – €18.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Odilon Kossounou's performance-implied value at EUR 7.1M-19.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 9.9M-20.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.0M-18.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 19

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh77.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral25.5 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €13.9M vs market €15.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-30% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.93
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €35.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
985 (29% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.09
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.06
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
78 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.93 (rank 4)
Team strength (Elo)
1588
Opponent strength
1476
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€5.0M – €18.2M

Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-91 Elo); relative output up 203% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -47% (IQR -70% to -10%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 985 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Atalanta BCSerie ACB1998529%100.090.06147615880.93
2024/25Atalanta BCSerie ACB18112533%000.000.02143916790.99
2023/24Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesligaCB22181259%100.050.03150317871.01
2022/23Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesligaCB24151950%010.060.05155716011.04
2021/22Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesligaCB27179058%010.050.04152416391.05
2020/21Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueCB27219572%120.120.06132615700.55
2019/20Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueCB740616%000.000.04140215780.63

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueAtalanta BC10812001651
2025/26Africa Cup Of NationsIvory Coast436001—
2025/26World CupIvory Coast318100—
2025/26Italy CupAtalanta BC38900—
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueAtalanta BC4265021544
2024/25Supercoppa ItalianaAtalanta BC168001833
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueBayer 04 Leverkusen8292001540
2023/24Dfb PokalBayer 04 Leverkusen419100—
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueBayer 04 Leverkusen5429001618
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueBayer 04 Leverkusen5187001515
2022/23Dfb PokalBayer 04 Leverkusen19000—
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueBayer 04 Leverkusen5301001478
2021/22Volkswagen SupercupClub Brugge KV190001414
2021/22Dfb PokalBayer 04 Leverkusen19001—
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV5450001616
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueClub Brugge KV2180001504
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV2180001731
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueClub Brugge KV2180001666

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Kieran Tierney
Laliga · 2024
27€12.0M€8.0Mfell
Davide Santon
Serie A · 2016
25€7.0M€3.0Mfell
Mattia Caldara
Serie A · 2020
26€11.0M€3.5Mfell
Reto Ziegler
Super Lig · 2013
27€6.5M€1.3Mfell
Kasim Adams
Bundesliga · 2019
24€7.0M€1.7Mfell
Martín Cáceres
Serie A · 2013
26€9.0M€8.5Mflat
Aleksandar Kolarov
Premier League · 2013
28€12.5M€11.0Mflat
Loïc Badé
Laliga · 2023
23€12.0M€25.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2025LeverkusenAtalanta€19.3M€25.0M
30 Jun 2025AtalantaLeverkusenFree / loan€25.0M
28 Aug 2024LeverkusenAtalantaFree / loan€35.0M
22 Jul 2021Club BruggeLeverkusen€23.0M€13.0M
1 Jul 2019HammarbyClub Brugge€3.9M€2.8M
12 Jan 2019ASEC MimosasHammarbyUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.