Boubacar Traoré
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Boubacar Traoré's performance-implied value at EUR 2.2M-8.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.4M-3.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.5M-4.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.19x the positional average in the league (1392 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 89
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 60.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.9M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -22% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1392 (46% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.15
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 61 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1225
- Opponent strength
- 1497
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.5M – €4.6M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -30% (IQR -51% to +26%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1392 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Metz | Ligue 1 | DM | 20 | 1392 | 45% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.15 | 1497 | 1225 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Premier League | DM | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1518 | 1501 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Premier League | DM | 24 | 803 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1625 | 1467 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Premier League | DM | 10 | 407 | 12% | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | 0.19 | 1601 | 1497 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | FC Metz | Ligue 1 | DM | 27 | 1722 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 1427 | 1308 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | FC Metz | Ligue 1 | DM | 2 | 52 | 2% | 1 | 0 | 1.73 | 0.21 | 1341 | 1341 | 0.75 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1 | 34 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saîf-Eddine Khaoui Ligue 1 · 2018 | 23 | €5.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Antonín Barák Serie A · 2020 | 26 | €8.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Bartol Franjic Bundesliga · 2024 | 24 | €1.8M | €1.4M | fell |
| Alessandro Zanoli Serie A · 2023 | 23 | €6.0M | €6.0M | flat |
| Omar El Kaddouri Serie A · 2017 | 27 | €4.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Viktor Kovalenko Serie A · 2022 | 26 | €3.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Emil Bohinen Serie A · 2022 | 23 | €4.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Bryan Cristante Serie A · 2017 | 22 | €3.0M | €25.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | FC Metz | Wolves | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 24 Jul 2025 | Wolves | FC Metz | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | FC Metz | Wolves | €11.0M | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Wolves | FC Metz | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Sept 2022 | FC Metz | Wolves | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 22 Aug 2019 | AS Bamako | FC Metz | €350k | €100k |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.