Mohamed-Ali Cho
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mohamed-Ali Cho's performance-implied value at EUR 6.0M-17.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 10.9M-20.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.4M-21.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.01x the positional average in the league (1681 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 35
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 57.9th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €14.5M vs market €15.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -14% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 12% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1681 (55% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.38
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.40
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 58 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1358
- Opponent strength
- 1458
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- 12%
- Resale range (24m)
- €6.4M – €21.0M
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-164 Elo); relative output up 34% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -14% (IQR -53% to +36%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1681 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | RW | 24 | 1681 | 55% | 4 | 3 | 0.37 | 0.40 | 1458 | 1358 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | RW | 27 | 1636 | 53% | 3 | 4 | 0.39 | 0.33 | 1456 | 1521 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | RW | 17 | 865 | 28% | 1 | 3 | 0.42 | 0.41 | 1459 | 1511 | 0.87 |
| 2023/24 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | RW | 11 | 239 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 1452 | 1588 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | ST | 19 | 578 | 17% | 1 | 2 | 0.47 | 0.49 | 1540 | 1604 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Angers SCO | Ligue 1 | ST | 32 | 1847 | 54% | 4 | 1 | 0.24 | 0.38 | 1416 | 1352 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | Angers SCO | Ligue 1 | ST | 21 | 331 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.42 | 1449 | 1326 | 0.75 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | OGC Nice | 7 | 261 | 1 | 1 | 1464 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | OGC Nice | 6 | 192 | 1 | 0 | 1508 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Real Sociedad | 4 | 130 | 0 | 0 | 1665 |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Real Sociedad | 4 | 112 | 0 | 0 | 1513 |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 1 | 80 | 1 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ishak Belfodil Serie A · 2013 | 21 | €10.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Luiz Araújo Ligue 1 · 2018 | 22 | €7.0M | €5.5M | fell |
| Manolo Gabbiadini Serie A · 2013 | 22 | €7.0M | €18.0M | rose |
| Alberto Moleiro Laliga · 2024 | 21 | €15.0M | €50.0M | rose |
| Mounir Chouiar Ligue 1 · 2020 | 21 | €7.2M | €2.5M | fell |
| Ignacio Pussetto Serie A · 2019 | 24 | €10.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Stephy Mavididi Ligue 1 · 2022 | 24 | €10.0M | €11.0M | flat |
| Mathieu Cafaro Ligue 1 · 2019 | 22 | €7.5M | €7.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2024 | Real Sociedad | Nice | €10.0M | €8.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Angers SCO | Real Sociedad | €13.0M | €15.0M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Angers SCO U19 | Angers SCO | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2020 | Everton Youth | Angers SCO U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | PSG Youth | Everton Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Feb 2011 | Chantilly Jgd | PSG Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.