Chiheb Labidi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Chiheb Labidi's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.93x the positional average in the league (1622 minutes, league coefficient 0.58). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 100
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 11.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €195k vs market €500k |
| Expected appreciation | High | +17% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.58 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1622 (53% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.11
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.20
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 11 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.58 (rank 9)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1231
- Opponent strength
- 1316
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €345k – €910k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -29% (IQR -64% to +129%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1622 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 58 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 72%–151%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | CD Nacional | Liga Portugal | CM | 28 | 1622 | 53% | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.20 | 1316 | 1231 | 0.58 |
| 2024/25 | CD Nacional | Liga Portugal | AM | 17 | 399 | 13% | 1 | 0 | 0.23 | 0.54 | 1392 | 1171 | 0.51 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yevgen Smirnov Premier Liga · 2019 | 26 | €500k | €225k | fell |
| Andrew Hjulsager Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 25 | €725k | €2.5M | rose |
| Jonathan Rowell Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 26 | €400k | €75k | fell |
| Vyacheslav Yakimov Premier Liga · 2023 | 25 | €700k | €700k | flat |
| Mehmet Tas Super Lig · 2016 | 25 | €400k | €50k | fell |
| Volodymyr Doronin Premier Liga · 2017 | 24 | €400k | €200k | fell |
| Evert Linthorst Eredivisie · 2023 | 23 | €500k | €2.5M | rose |
| Michiel Jonckheere Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 25 | €600k | €1.2M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Sept 2024 | Club Africain | Nacional | Free / loan | €550k |
| 1 Jan 2021 | C. Africain U21 | Club Africain | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.