Evert Linthorst

26 yrs · Central midfielder (also DM) · Netherlands
Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie · Foot: right · Height: 187 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€1.2M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€419k – €1.2M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€609k – €963k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€591k – €1.5M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€560k – €544k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€419k – €1.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€609k – €963k
Projected value (24 months)€591k – €1.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Evert Linthorst's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.80x the positional average in the league (1484 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 85

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average21.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.3 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €688k vs market €1.2M
Expected appreciationLow-15% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €2.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1484 (49% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.18
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.18
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
22 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1245
Opponent strength
1287
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€591k – €1.5M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 34 pts.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -37% (IQR -56% to -7%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1484 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
53 (MID)
Relative output kept
76%–148%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
68%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Go Ahead EaglesEredivisieCM29148448%120.180.18128712450.43
2024/25Go Ahead EaglesEredivisieCM33252282%330.210.20130012970.50
2023/24Go Ahead EaglesEredivisieDM31237578%110.080.08135612540.48
2022/23Go Ahead EaglesEredivisieDM23145047%100.060.12135312460.58
2021/22Go Ahead EaglesEredivisieDM2462%000.000.11128511880.60
2020/21VVV-VenloEredivisieCM16131543%230.340.41138411380.56
2019/20VVV-VenloEredivisieCM18137959%410.330.33138712370.62
2018/19VVV-VenloEredivisieCM1365021%000.000.15135012610.61
2017/18VVV-VenloEredivisieCM110%000.000.41158911970.59

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueGo Ahead Eagles7418001473
2025/26Knvb BekerGo Ahead Eagles321400—
2025/26Johan Cruijff SchaalGo Ahead Eagles190001632
2024/25Knvb BekerGo Ahead Eagles547001—
2024/25Uefa Conference League QualifyingGo Ahead Eagles2154001333
2023/24Knvb BekerGo Ahead Eagles315200—
2022/23Knvb BekerGo Ahead Eagles1100—
2020/21Knvb BekerVVV-Venlo319411—
2019/20Knvb BekerVVV-Venlo18900—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Deni Milosevic
Super Lig · 2021
26€1.9M€550kfell
Alan Forrest
Scottish Premiership · 2023
27€550k€500kflat
Murray Davidson
Scottish Premiership · 2014
26€900k€450kfell
Tristan Dingomé
Jupiler Pro League · 2016
25€900k€1.0Mflat
Ognjen Gnjatic
Super League 1 · 2017
26€500k€300kfell
Raman Chibsah
Super Lig · 2020
27€900k€250kfell
Mathias Greve
Superliga · 2022
27€800k€800kflat
Manolis Siopis
Super League 1 · 2018
24€1.5M€1.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jan 2022Ittihad KalbaGo Ahead EaglesUnknown€500k
1 Feb 2021VVV-VenloIttihad Kalba€600k€800k
1 Jul 2018VVV U19VVV-VenloUnknown€75k
1 Jul 2017Venlosche B U17VVV U19Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2016PSV Yth.Venlosche B U17Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2014VVV/Helm. YouthPSV Yth.Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2009Venlosche B JuVVV-Venlo YouthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Evert Linthorst · MoneyballAI