
Evert Linthorst
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Evert Linthorst's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.80x the positional average in the league (1484 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 85
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 21.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €688k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -15% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1484 (49% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.18
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.18
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 22 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1245
- Opponent strength
- 1287
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €591k – €1.5M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 34 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -37% (IQR -56% to -7%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1484 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | CM | 29 | 1484 | 48% | 1 | 2 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 1287 | 1245 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | CM | 33 | 2522 | 82% | 3 | 3 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 1300 | 1297 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | DM | 31 | 2375 | 78% | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 1356 | 1254 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | DM | 23 | 1450 | 47% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 1353 | 1246 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | DM | 2 | 46 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1285 | 1188 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | VVV-Venlo | Eredivisie | CM | 16 | 1315 | 43% | 2 | 3 | 0.34 | 0.41 | 1384 | 1138 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | VVV-Venlo | Eredivisie | CM | 18 | 1379 | 59% | 4 | 1 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 1387 | 1237 | 0.62 |
| 2018/19 | VVV-Venlo | Eredivisie | CM | 13 | 650 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1350 | 1261 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | VVV-Venlo | Eredivisie | CM | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.41 | 1589 | 1197 | 0.59 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 418 | 0 | 0 | 1473 |
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 214 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1632 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 5 | 470 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 | 154 | 0 | 0 | 1333 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 152 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | VVV-Venlo | 3 | 194 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | VVV-Venlo | 1 | 89 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Milosevic Super Lig · 2021 | 26 | €1.9M | €550k | fell |
| Alan Forrest Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 27 | €550k | €500k | flat |
| Murray Davidson Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 26 | €900k | €450k | fell |
| Tristan Dingomé Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 25 | €900k | €1.0M | flat |
| Ognjen Gnjatic Super League 1 · 2017 | 26 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Raman Chibsah Super Lig · 2020 | 27 | €900k | €250k | fell |
| Mathias Greve Superliga · 2022 | 27 | €800k | €800k | flat |
| Manolis Siopis Super League 1 · 2018 | 24 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2022 | Ittihad Kalba | Go Ahead Eagles | Unknown | €500k |
| 1 Feb 2021 | VVV-Venlo | Ittihad Kalba | €600k | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | VVV U19 | VVV-Venlo | Unknown | €75k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Venlosche B U17 | VVV U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | PSV Yth. | Venlosche B U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | VVV/Helm. Youth | PSV Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Venlosche B Ju | VVV-Venlo Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.