Emmanuel Agbadou
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Emmanuel Agbadou's performance-implied value at EUR 3.6M-10.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 9.0M-16.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.6M-10.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 1
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 75.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €12.7M vs market €16.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -61% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2191 (64% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.08
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.04
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 76 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1388
- Opponent strength
- 1624
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €4.6M – €10.8M
Trajectory drivers: league level down (-89 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -46% (IQR -56% to -34%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Premier League | CB | 14 | 1101 | 32% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1624 | 1425 | 1.30 |
| 2025/26 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | CB | 13 | 1090 | 36% | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.11 | 1293 | 1350 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Premier League | CB | 16 | 1411 | 41% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 1575 | 1501 | 1.23 |
| 2024/25 | Stade Reims | Ligue 1 | CB | 14 | 1260 | 41% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1452 | 1357 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | Stade Reims | Ligue 1 | CB | 32 | 2595 | 85% | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 1478 | 1419 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | Stade Reims | Ligue 1 | CB | 29 | 2389 | 70% | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 1448 | 1425 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | KAS Eupen | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 33 | 2886 | 94% | 5 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 1350 | 1174 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | KAS Eupen | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 23 | 1986 | 65% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1358 | 1285 | 0.55 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Ivory Coast | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Ivory Coast | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartosz Bereszyński Serie A · 2019 | 27 | €10.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Armando Izzo Serie A · 2021 | 29 | €10.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Djibril Sidibé Ligue 1 · 2019 | 27 | €15.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Joseph Okumu Ligue 1 · 2024 | 27 | €9.0M | €9.0M | flat |
| Gian Marco Ferrari Serie A · 2020 | 28 | €8.0M | €7.0M | flat |
| Hiroki Sakai Ligue 1 · 2019 | 29 | €8.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Jemerson Ligue 1 · 2019 | 27 | €10.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Lucas Lima Ligue 1 · 2019 | 28 | €6.5M | €3.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2026 | Wolves | Besiktas | €18.0M | €18.0M |
| 9 Jan 2025 | Stade Reims | Wolves | €20.0M | €10.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | KAS Eupen | Stade Reims | €2.6M | €2.5M |
| 1 Sept 2020 | FC San Pedro | KAS Eupen | €300k | €325k |
| 30 Jun 2020 | US Monastir | FC San Pedro | Free / loan | €325k |
| 4 Jul 2019 | FC San Pedro | US Monastir | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.