Ruslan Bezrukov
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ruslan Bezrukov's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-2.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.82x the positional average in the league (1224 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 81
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 28.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €732k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +2% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1224 (45% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.37
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.41
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 28 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1339
- Opponent strength
- 1350
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €597k – €2.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -45% to +2%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1224 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 18 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 54%–153%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 56%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Rubin Kazan | Premier Liga | LM | 25 | 1224 | 45% | 2 | 3 | 0.37 | 0.41 | 1350 | 1339 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | FC Rubin Kazan | Premier Liga | LM | 24 | 1154 | 43% | 3 | 3 | 0.47 | 0.40 | 1307 | 1322 | 0.55 |
| 2023/24 | FC Rubin Kazan | Premier Liga | LM | 19 | 1333 | 49% | 2 | 1 | 0.20 | 0.24 | 1324 | 1271 | 0.49 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | FC Rubin Kazan | 6 | 417 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | FC Rubin Kazan | 9 | 705 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Russian Cup | FC Rubin Kazan | 5 | 383 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Tatos Super League 1 · 2013 | 24 | €1.3M | €800k | fell |
| Arnor Angeli Jupiler Pro League · 2013 | 22 | €700k | €300k | fell |
| Gudmundur Thórarinsson Superliga · 2016 | 24 | €700k | €800k | flat |
| Liam Kelly Scottish Premiership · 2013 | 23 | €750k | €500k | fell |
| Abdoulaye Sissako Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 22 | €1.6M | €850k | fell |
| Mateusz Klich Eredivisie · 2013 | 23 | €750k | €800k | flat |
| Pedro Nuno Liga Portugal · 2020 | 25 | €725k | €400k | fell |
| Pablo Roberto Liga Portugal · 2024 | 25 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2022 | Neftekhimik | Rubin Kazan | €330k | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | SKA Rostov | Neftekhimik | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Sept 2021 | Rostov II | SKA Rostov | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Akademia Rostov | Rostov II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2019 | Novoshakhtinsk | Akademia Rostov | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.