Edson Fernando

The model rates Edson Fernando's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.23x the positional average in the league (1323 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract ends within 6 months: can sign a pre-contract; small or no fee.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1323 (49% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.20

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.13

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

1 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.25 (rank 30)

Team strength (Elo)

1105

Opponent strength

1182

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

insufficient

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€219k – €558k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -32% (IQR -41% to -10%).

• ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠Limited sample: 1323 league minutes last season.
• ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
• ⚠Contract ends in 6 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

37 (all positions)

Relative output kept

87%–128%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

86%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.