James Gomez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates James Gomez's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.9M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 0.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €722k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -3% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 609 (31% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.15
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.12
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 1 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1215
- Opponent strength
- 1272
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €596k – €1.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +22% (IQR -23% to +72%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 609 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 24 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 60%–139%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 71%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Odense Boldklub | Superliga | CB | 12 | 609 | 31% | 1 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 1272 | 1215 | 0.47 |
| 2023/24 | Odense Boldklub | Superliga | CB | 3 | 270 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1345 | 1220 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | AC Horsens | Superliga | CB | 19 | 1510 | 76% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 1317 | 1157 | 0.47 |
| 2020/21 | AC Horsens | Superliga | CB | 6 | 326 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1232 | 1121 | 0.43 |
| 2019/20 | AC Horsens | Superliga | CB | 1 | 9 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1317 | 1205 | 0.41 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | Odense Boldklub | 3 | 187 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | AC Sparta Prague | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1517 |
| 2022/23 | Oddset Pokalen | AC Horsens | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Oddset Pokalen | AC Horsens | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Atkinson Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 24 | €850k | €700k | flat |
| Arda Kızıldağ Super Lig · 2023 | 25 | €700k | €900k | rose |
| Anastasios Papazoglou Super League 1 · 2015 | 27 | €800k | €500k | fell |
| Bahadır Öztürk Super Lig · 2020 | 25 | €525k | €150k | fell |
| Dino Arslanagic Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 24 | €900k | €3.0M | rose |
| Zakhar Volkov Premier Liga · 2022 | 25 | €600k | €700k | flat |
| Karim Hafez Super Lig · 2019 | 23 | €800k | €1.5M | rose |
| Florent Hanin Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 25 | €600k | €1.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2024 | Sparta Prague | Odense BK | €1.0M | €800k |
| 19 Jul 2023 | AC Horsens | Sparta Prague | €1.1M | €800k |
| 1 Jan 2021 | Real de Banjul | AC Horsens | €40k | €50k |
| 31 Dec 2020 | AC Horsens | Real de Banjul | Free / loan | €50k |
| 20 Jan 2020 | Real de Banjul | AC Horsens | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.