Yanis Zouaoui
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yanis Zouaoui's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-3.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.1M-3.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 92
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 48.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.0M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -16% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2350 (77% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.08
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.15
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 49 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1361
- Opponent strength
- 1475
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.1M – €3.1M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 45 pts; relative output down 33% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -29% (IQR -41% to -20%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Le Havre AC | Ligue 1 | LB | 30 | 2350 | 77% | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.15 | 1475 | 1361 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Le Havre AC | Ligue 1 | LB | 17 | 973 | 32% | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 0.21 | 1437 | 1333 | 0.88 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oussama Haddadi Ligue 1 · 2018 | 26 | €3.0M | €2.4M | fell |
| Pierre Bengtsson Ligue 1 · 2017 | 29 | €2.0M | €600k | fell |
| Aleksandr Martynovich Premier Liga · 2016 | 29 | €3.0M | €2.4M | fell |
| Charles Traoré Ligue 1 · 2020 | 28 | €2.4M | €1.5M | fell |
| Javi Hernández Laliga · 2024 | 26 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Vasco Regini Serie A · 2017 | 27 | €2.5M | €1.4M | fell |
| Gabriel Suazo Ligue 1 · 2024 | 27 | €3.5M | €6.0M | rose |
| Arnaud Souquet Ligue 1 · 2022 | 30 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Jul 2024 | FC Martigues | Le Havre AC | Free / loan | €600k |
| 22 Jul 2021 | Foresta Suceava | FC Martigues | Free / loan | €10k |
| 26 Nov 2020 | Without Club | Foresta Suceava | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | SC Toulon | Without Club | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | FC Martigues | SC Toulon | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Côte Bleue | FC Martigues | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.