Sambou Soumano
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Sambou Soumano's performance-implied value at EUR 1.4M-3.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.0M-5.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.7M-5.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.21x the positional average in the league (928 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 35
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 41th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €3.4M vs market €3.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -13% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 928 (30% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.58
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.61
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 41 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1420
- Opponent strength
- 1454
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.7M – €5.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -5% (IQR -29% to +73%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 928 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Lorient | Ligue 1 | ST | 31 | 928 | 30% | 4 | 2 | 0.58 | 0.61 | 1454 | 1420 | 0.88 |
| 2022/23 | KAS Eupen | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 7 | 180 | 6% | 1 | 0 | 0.50 | 0.58 | 1231 | 1171 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | FC Lorient | Ligue 1 | ST | 21 | 439 | 13% | 3 | 0 | 0.62 | 0.75 | 1457 | 1335 | 0.86 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Pussetto Serie A · 2022 | 27 | €3.0M | €2.7M | flat |
| Stefano Okaka Serie A · 2014 | 25 | €3.0M | €6.5M | rose |
| Duje Cop Serie A · 2015 | 25 | €4.0M | €3.5M | flat |
| Romain Del Castillo Ligue 1 · 2022 | 26 | €3.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Giovanni Sio Ligue 1 · 2013 | 24 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Kike Barja Laliga · 2023 | 26 | €4.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Maxime Lestienne Laliga · 2018 | 26 | €2.5M | €4.0M | rose |
| Keita Baldé Serie A · 2021 | 26 | €8.0M | €2.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | FC Lorient | Without Club | Unknown | €3.5M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | QRM | FC Lorient | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 2 Aug 2023 | FC Lorient | QRM | Free / loan | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Rodez AF | FC Lorient | Free / loan | €800k |
| 18 Jan 2023 | FC Lorient | Rodez AF | Free / loan | €900k |
| 17 Jan 2023 | KAS Eupen | FC Lorient | Free / loan | €900k |
| 20 Aug 2022 | FC Lorient | KAS Eupen | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 1 Jan 2022 | Lorient B | FC Lorient | Unknown | €400k |
| 19 Aug 2021 | Châteaubriant | Lorient B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 23 Sept 2020 | Pau FC B | Châteaubriant | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Unknown | Pau FC B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.