Bogdan Slyubyk
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Bogdan Slyubyk's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-1.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 70
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 1.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €523k vs market €600k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +6% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 7% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1271 (47% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 1 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 21)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1039
- Opponent strength
- 1179
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- 7%
- Resale range (24m)
- €322k – €1.1M
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-160 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -13% (IQR -42% to +19%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1271 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 11 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 108%–176%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 82%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Rukh Lviv | Premier Liga | CB | 15 | 1271 | 47% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1179 | 1039 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Rukh Lviv | Premier Liga | CB | 15 | 1267 | 47% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1197 | 1199 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Rukh Lviv | Premier Liga | CB | 29 | 2605 | 96% | 4 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.12 | 1270 | 1265 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Rukh Lviv | Premier Liga | CB | 18 | 1401 | 52% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1252 | 1218 | 0.38 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Rukh Lviv | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Rukh Lviv | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Rukh Lviv | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dmytro Kapinus Premier Liga · 2024 | 21 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Nazariy Muravskyi Premier Liga · 2023 | 23 | €350k | €700k | rose |
| Daniil Khrypchuk Premier Liga · 2024 | 21 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| Erdi Dikmen Super Lig · 2021 | 24 | €500k | €200k | fell |
| Luka Gucek Premier Liga · 2024 | 25 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Vadym Chervak Premier Liga · 2024 | 25 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Oleksandr Martynyuk Premier Liga · 2024 | 23 | €500k | €1.5M | rose |
| Atakan Çankaya Super Lig · 2022 | 24 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 | Rukh Lviv | Pardubice | €1.5M | €700k |
| 1 Aug 2022 | Rukh Lviv U19 | Rukh Lviv | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 23 Sept 2020 | Karpaty | Rukh Lviv U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2020 | Karpaty U19 | Karpaty | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2020 | Karpaty U17 | Karpaty U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.