Ibrahim Said
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ibrahim Said's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-1.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-3.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.67x the positional average in the league (2032 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 95
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 18.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.1M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +1% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2032 (68% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.13
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.26
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 18 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1245
- Opponent strength
- 1212
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.0M – €3.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +25% (IQR -11% to +41%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 12 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 75%–114%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 67%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Motherwell FC | Scottish Premiership | RW | 33 | 2032 | 68% | 3 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.26 | 1212 | 1245 | 0.31 |
| 2024/25 | Viborg FF | Superliga | RW | 14 | 403 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 1273 | 1222 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | Viborg FF | Superliga | RW | 21 | 1333 | 67% | 2 | 4 | 0.41 | 0.40 | 1272 | 1261 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Viborg FF | Superliga | RW | 22 | 1374 | 69% | 1 | 4 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 1294 | 1327 | 0.47 |
| 2021/22 | Viborg FF | Superliga | RW | 14 | 378 | 19% | 1 | 1 | 0.48 | 0.44 | 1244 | 1234 | 0.45 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Motherwell FC | 2 | 111 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | Viborg FF | 2 | 132 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | Viborg FF | 2 | 94 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Oddset Pokalen | Viborg FF | 5 | 322 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Viborg FF | 5 | 291 | 1 | 1 | 1341 |
| 2021/22 | Oddset Pokalen | Viborg FF | 1 | 81 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anastasios Chatzigiovanis Super League 1 · 2019 | 22 | €1.5M | €2.0M | rose |
| Olivier Deman Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 22 | €1.3M | €5.0M | rose |
| Christian Bassogog Superliga · 2017 | 22 | €3.0M | €3.5M | flat |
| Frederik Börsting Superliga · 2020 | 25 | €650k | €600k | flat |
| João Klauss Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 25 | €3.0M | €4.0M | rose |
| Jairo Super League 1 · 2017 | 25 | €800k | €1.4M | rose |
| Andriy Kulakov Premier Liga · 2024 | 25 | €500k | €400k | fell |
| Leandro Kappel Super League 1 · 2015 | 26 | €600k | €350k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2025 | Viborg FF | Motherwell FC | €135k | €800k |
| 5 Oct 2020 | Dabo Bab. Acad. | Viborg FF | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.