Andrey Langovich
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Andrey Langovich's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-2.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-2.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.69x the positional average in the league (653 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 15.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.0M vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -14% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 653 (24% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.15
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 15 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1301
- Opponent strength
- 1363
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €631k – €2.3M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 38 pts; role change RB -> RM; relative output down 54% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -59% (IQR -75% to -26%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 653 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 18 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 54%–153%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 56%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FK Rostov | Premier Liga | RM | 16 | 653 | 24% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1363 | 1301 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | FK Rostov | Premier Liga | RB | 23 | 1677 | 62% | 1 | 3 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 1306 | 1342 | 0.55 |
| 2023/24 | FK Rostov | Premier Liga | RB | 22 | 1013 | 38% | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 1321 | 1317 | 0.49 |
| 2022/23 | FK Rostov | Premier Liga | RB | 22 | 1043 | 39% | 2 | 0 | 0.17 | 0.12 | 1312 | 1343 | 0.53 |
| 2021/22 | FK Rostov | Premier Liga | RB | 16 | 864 | 32% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1339 | 1283 | 0.52 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | FK Rostov | 8 | 547 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | FK Rostov | 10 | 506 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Russian Cup | FK Rostov | 8 | 518 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Russian Cup | FK Rostov | 8 | 558 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2021/22 | Russian Cup | FK Rostov | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tozé Liga Portugal · 2016 | 23 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Santiago Colombatto Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 24 | €1.5M | €4.0M | rose |
| Alpaslan Öztürk Super Lig · 2016 | 23 | €1.8M | €250k | fell |
| Chuks Aneke Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 23 | €900k | €500k | fell |
| Sulayman Marreh Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 24 | €950k | €400k | fell |
| Alexis Flips Super Lig · 2024 | 24 | €3.0M | €300k | fell |
| Afonso Freitas Liga Portugal · 2024 | 24 | €1.0M | €300k | fell |
| Nuno Santos Liga Portugal · 2018 | 23 | €900k | €1.6M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2021 | Rostov II | Rostov | Unknown | €125k |
| 1 Jan 2020 | Akademia Rostov | Rostov II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.