Yllan Okou
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yllan Okou's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-1.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.1M-3.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-4.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 67
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 34.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €2.0M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +18% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2170 (80% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.04
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 35 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1297
- Opponent strength
- 1378
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €968k – €4.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -19% (IQR -48% to +9%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RAAL La Louvière | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 27 | 2170 | 80% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 1378 | 1296 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Hellas Verona | Serie A | CB | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1262 | 1366 | 0.99 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Relegation Play Offs | RAAL La Louvière | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1267 |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Hellas Verona | 1 | 55 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Tanghe Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 22 | €1.6M | €800k | fell |
| Zé Carlos Liga Portugal · 2022 | 24 | €1.5M | €700k | fell |
| Joël Schingtienne Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 22 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Pastor Liga Portugal · 2024 | 24 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Weverson Liga Portugal · 2024 | 24 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Antonio Milic Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 22 | €1.2M | €3.0M | rose |
| Falaye Sacko Liga Portugal · 2019 | 24 | €2.5M | €3.5M | rose |
| Lucas Woudenberg Eredivisie · 2016 | 22 | €1.0M | €650k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Aug 2025 | SC Bastia | La Louvière | Free / loan | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Hellas Verona | SC Bastia | Free / loan | €800k |
| 29 Jul 2024 | SC Bastia | Hellas Verona | Free / loan | €900k |
| 23 Oct 2023 | Monaco | SC Bastia | €500k | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Monaco U21 | Monaco | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Monaco U19 | Monaco B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.