Taha Altıkardeş
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Taha Altıkardeş's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.5M-5.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.7M-6.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 59
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 20.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €3.2M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -12% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 13% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1378 (45% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 21 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1281
- Opponent strength
- 1279
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- 13%
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.7M – €6.7M
Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+80 Elo); relative output down 57% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -13% (IQR -34% to +18%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1378 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 50 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–191%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 54%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Göztepe | Super Lig | CB | 28 | 1378 | 45% | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1279 | 1281 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Göztepe | Super Lig | CB | 23 | 1381 | 43% | 2 | 1 | 0.20 | 0.16 | 1253 | 1201 | 0.39 |
| 2022/23 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | CB | 3 | 181 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1303 | 1377 | 0.50 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Porozo Super Lig · 2024 | 24 | €3.3M | €2.5M | fell |
| Nair Tiknizyan Premier Liga · 2022 | 23 | €2.5M | €6.5M | rose |
| Jailson Super Lig · 2020 | 25 | €4.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Fatih Aksoy Super Lig · 2021 | 24 | €2.0M | €3.2M | rose |
| Mike Eerdhuijzen Eredivisie · 2024 | 24 | €1.3M | €1.3M | flat |
| Henrik Heggheim Superliga · 2022 | 21 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Javi Montero Super Lig · 2022 | 23 | €2.7M | €1.5M | fell |
| Tayyip Talha Sanuç Super Lig · 2022 | 23 | €2.8M | €3.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2023 | Trabzonspor | Göztepe | Free / loan | €850k |
| 27 Jan 2022 | Bursaspor | Trabzonspor | €1.3M | €550k |
| 29 Jan 2021 | Bursaspor U19 | Bursaspor | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 4 Aug 2020 | Bursaspor U17 | Bursaspor U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Bursaspor U16 | Bursaspor U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Bursaspor Yth | Bursaspor U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.