André Lacximicant
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates André Lacximicant's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.96x the positional average in the league (1213 minutes, league coefficient 0.58). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 72
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 21th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €659k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +2% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.58 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1213 (40% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.37
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.48
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 21 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.58 (rank 9)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1305
- Opponent strength
- 1348
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €482k – €1.3M
Trajectory drivers: relative output down 31% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -24% (IQR -50% to +7%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1213 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 58 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 71%–130%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 66%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | GD Estoril Praia | Liga Portugal | ST | 22 | 1213 | 40% | 3 | 2 | 0.37 | 0.48 | 1348 | 1305 | 0.58 |
| 2024/25 | GD Estoril Praia | Liga Portugal | ST | 27 | 989 | 32% | 5 | 3 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 1355 | 1302 | 0.51 |
| 2023/24 | Casa Pia AC | Liga Portugal | LW | 13 | 207 | 7% | 1 | 1 | 0.87 | 0.58 | 1357 | 1282 | 0.58 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Parzyszek Eredivisie · 2018 | 25 | €750k | €800k | flat |
| Ahmed Januzi Premier Liga · 2014 | 26 | €700k | €400k | fell |
| Patrick Joosten Eredivisie · 2021 | 25 | €800k | €400k | fell |
| Yusupha Njie Liga Portugal · 2018 | 24 | €600k | €650k | flat |
| Alexandre Guedes Liga Portugal · 2018 | 24 | €700k | €1.2M | rose |
| Yaya Soumahoro Jupiler Pro League · 2013 | 24 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Luka Zarandia Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 24 | €1.0M | €250k | fell |
| Alessandro Cerigioni Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 25 | €500k | €250k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2024 | Braga B | Estoril | Free / loan | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Casa Pia | Braga B | Free / loan | €400k |
| 31 Jan 2024 | Braga B | Casa Pia | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Braga U23 | Braga B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Leixões U23 | Braga U23 | €300k | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Viseu U19 | Leixões U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Tondela Sub-17 | Viseu U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Tondela Y15 | Tondela Sub-17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2016 | Sacavenense S15 | Tondela Y15 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Sacavenense F. | Sacavenense S15 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Loures Youth | Sacavenense F. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.