Bogdan Veklyak
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Bogdan Veklyak's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract ends within 6 months: can sign a pre-contract; small or no fee.
Bargain Index: 96
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 0.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €22k vs market €300k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -7% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1076 (40% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.08
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 0 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1042
- Opponent strength
- 1212
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €147k – €405k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -11% to +19%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1076 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 6 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 11 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 108%–176%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 82%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Kudrivka | Premier Liga | CB | 16 | 1076 | 40% | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 1212 | 1042 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Karpaty Lviv | Premier Liga | CB | 2 | 18 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1215 | 1185 | 0.28 |
| 2020/21 | Olimpik Donetsk | Premier Liga | CB | 4 | 315 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1337 | 1157 | 0.49 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Kudrivka | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Karpaty Lviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | Girnyk-Sport Gorishni Plavni | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luiyi de Lucas Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 30 | €300k | €275k | flat |
| Ilias Chatzitheodoridis Super League 1 · 2023 | 26 | €350k | €500k | rose |
| Shane Blaney Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 25 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Theofanis Mavrommatis Super League 1 · 2022 | 25 | €350k | €400k | flat |
| Manolis Moniakis Super League 1 · 2015 | 27 | €250k | €200k | fell |
| Viktor Korniyenko Premier Liga · 2024 | 25 | €1.0M | €300k | fell |
| Vasilios Vitlis Super League 1 · 2022 | 29 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Nikolaos Vafeas Super League 1 · 2021 | 24 | €300k | €400k | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2025 | Karpaty Lviv | FC Kudrivka | Free / loan | €100k |
| 6 Jul 2023 | MFC Metalurg | Karpaty Lviv | €90k | €150k |
| 7 Feb 2022 | FC Minaj | MFC Metalurg | Free / loan | €200k |
| 27 Jul 2021 | Olimpik Donetsk | FC Minaj | Free / loan | €200k |
| 11 Jan 2021 | Girnyk-Sport | Olimpik Donetsk | Free / loan | €100k |
| 2 Mar 2020 | Karpaty II | Girnyk-Sport | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Skala Stryi U19 | Karpaty II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.