Ousmane N'Dong
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ousmane N'Dong's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 48
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 27.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.0M vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -16% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1928 (71% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.09
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 28 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1279
- Opponent strength
- 1330
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €598k – €1.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -48% to -24%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 48%–200%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | Premier Liga | CB | 23 | 1928 | 71% | 2 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 1330 | 1279 | 0.56 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 3 | 225 | 2 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Émerson Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €1.2M | €900k | fell |
| Niels De Schutter Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 27 | €600k | €450k | fell |
| Henrik Dalsgaard Superliga · 2016 | 27 | €1.0M | €1.5M | rose |
| Atila Turan Super Lig · 2019 | 27 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Aleksandr Ektov Premier Liga · 2023 | 27 | €1.0M | €800k | fell |
| Tom Beugelsdijk Eredivisie · 2018 | 28 | €900k | €475k | fell |
| Filipe Ferreira Liga Portugal · 2016 | 26 | €1.3M | €700k | fell |
| Pol García Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 25 | €1.2M | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul 2025 | Gol Gohar | Akhmat Grozny | €500k | €750k |
| 30 Jul 2024 | Esteghlal Khz. | Gol Gohar | Free / loan | €500k |
| 28 Jan 2024 | Gualaceo SC | Esteghlal Khz. | Free / loan | €350k |
| 6 Jan 2023 | Albion FC | Gualaceo SC | Free / loan | €300k |
| 24 Feb 2022 | Without Club | Albion FC | Unknown | €25k |
| 2 Jan 2022 | Lanús II | Without Club | Unknown | €25k |
| 1 Jan 2021 | Lanús U20 | Lanús II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Mar 2018 | Cayor Foot | Lanús U20 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.