
Nathaniel Clyne
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Nathaniel Clyne's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-3.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.83x the positional average in the league (597 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | High | 82.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 35.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €240k vs market €300k |
| Expected appreciation | High | +12% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 597 (18% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.15
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.18
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 83 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1589
- Opponent strength
- 1638
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €231k – €323k
Trajectory drivers: role change CB -> RM.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -55% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 597 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 35: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Crystal Palace | Premier League | RM | 10 | 597 | 17% | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.18 | 1638 | 1589 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Crystal Palace | Premier League | CB | 13 | 481 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1600 | 1620 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Crystal Palace | Premier League | RB | 19 | 1338 | 39% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1632 | 1562 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Crystal Palace | Premier League | RB | 22 | 1643 | 48% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1627 | 1536 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Crystal Palace | Premier League | RB | 16 | 1351 | 40% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 1577 | 1537 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Crystal Palace | Premier League | RB | 13 | 1147 | 34% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 1527 | 1456 | 1.19 |
| 2018/19 | AFC Bournemouth | Premier League | RB | 14 | 1145 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.13 | 1560 | 1495 | 1.22 |
| 2018/19 | Liverpool FC | Premier League | RB | 4 | 108 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1680 | 1916 | 1.22 |
| 2017/18 | Liverpool FC | Premier League | RB | 3 | 174 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1547 | 1779 | 1.15 |
| 2016/17 | Liverpool FC | Premier League | RB | 37 | 3324 | 97% | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 1522 | 1666 | 1.07 |
| 2015/16 | Liverpool FC | Premier League | RB | 33 | 2970 | 87% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 1537 | 1639 | 1.08 |
| 2014/15 | Southampton FC | Premier League | RB | 35 | 3147 | 92% | 2 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 1534 | 1546 | 1.06 |
| 2013/14 | Southampton FC | Premier League | RB | 25 | 1861 | 54% | 0 | 5 | 0.24 | 0.21 | 1534 | 1549 | 1.12 |
| 2012/13 | Southampton FC | Premier League | RB | 34 | 3021 | 88% | 1 | 3 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 1525 | 1472 | 1.07 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Crystal Palace | 3 | 81 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Crystal Palace | 2 | 149 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Crystal Palace | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Crystal Palace | 4 | 201 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Fa Cup | Crystal Palace | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Fa Cup | AFC Bournemouth | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | Liverpool FC | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1804 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League | Liverpool FC | 14 | 1215 | 0 | 2 | 1584 |
| 2015/16 | Fa Cup | Liverpool FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Fa Cup | Southampton FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Fa Cup | Southampton FC | 3 | 270 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alberto Rivera Laliga · 2014 | 36 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Mathieu Flamini Laliga · 2019 | 35 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Jack Colback Premier League · 2023 | 34 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Duda Laliga · 2016 | 36 | €1.0M | €100k | fell |
| Seydou Keita Laliga · 2014 | 34 | €1.5M | €500k | fell |
| Emmanuel Culio Laliga · 2016 | 33 | €500k | €850k | rose |
| Paulo Assunção Laliga · 2013 | 33 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| James Milner Premier League · 2024 | 38 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2020 | Liverpool | Crystal Palace | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 31 May 2019 | Bournemouth | Liverpool | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 4 Jan 2019 | Liverpool | Bournemouth | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Southampton | Liverpool | €17.7M | €17.0M |
| 18 Jul 2012 | Crystal Palace | Southampton | €3.2M | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2008 | Palace U18 | Crystal Palace | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.