Nathaniel Clyne

35 yrs · Right-back (also CB, RM) · England
Crystal Palace · Premier League · Foot: right · Height: 175 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2026
Market value
€300k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€116k – €583k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€605k – €3.3M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€231k – €323k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€22k – €3.2M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€116k – €583k
Model value (performance-implied)€605k – €3.3M
Projected value (24 months)€231k – €323k
Dashed line: current market value (€300k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Nathaniel Clyne's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-3.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.83x the positional average in the league (597 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceHigh82.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable35.2 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €240k vs market €300k
Expected appreciationHigh+12% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 1.3
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €21.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
597 (18% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.15
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.18
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
83 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
1.30 (rank 1)
Team strength (Elo)
1589
Opponent strength
1638
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€231k – €323k

Trajectory drivers: role change CB -> RM.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -55% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Small sample: 597 league minutes last season.
  • ▲Age 35: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Crystal PalacePremier LeagueRM1059717%010.150.18163815891.30
2024/25Crystal PalacePremier LeagueCB1348114%000.000.05160016201.23
2023/24Crystal PalacePremier LeagueRB19133839%000.000.08163215621.14
2022/23Crystal PalacePremier LeagueRB22164348%000.000.06162715361.23
2021/22Crystal PalacePremier LeagueRB16135140%010.070.10157715371.17
2020/21Crystal PalacePremier LeagueRB13114734%010.080.12152714561.19
2018/19AFC BournemouthPremier LeagueRB14114533%010.080.13156014951.22
2018/19Liverpool FCPremier LeagueRB41083%000.000.10168019161.22
2017/18Liverpool FCPremier LeagueRB31745%000.000.08154717791.15
2016/17Liverpool FCPremier LeagueRB37332497%020.050.06152216661.07
2015/16Liverpool FCPremier LeagueRB33297087%100.030.05153716391.08
2014/15Southampton FCPremier LeagueRB35314792%200.060.07153415461.06
2013/14Southampton FCPremier LeagueRB25186154%050.240.21153415491.12
2012/13Southampton FCPremier LeagueRB34302188%130.120.12152514721.07

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2024/25Fa CupCrystal Palace38100—
2023/24Fa CupCrystal Palace214900—
2022/23Fa CupCrystal Palace19000—
2021/22Fa CupCrystal Palace420100—
2020/21Fa CupCrystal Palace19000—
2018/19Fa CupAFC Bournemouth19000—
2017/18Uefa Champions LeagueLiverpool FC210001804
2015/16Uefa Europa LeagueLiverpool FC141215021584
2015/16Fa CupLiverpool FC19000—
2014/15Fa CupSouthampton FC218000—
2013/14Fa CupSouthampton FC327010—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Alberto Rivera
Laliga · 2014
36€200k€200kflat
Mathieu Flamini
Laliga · 2019
35€600k€600kflat
Jack Colback
Premier League · 2023
34€600k€600kflat
Duda
Laliga · 2016
36€1.0M€100kfell
Seydou Keita
Laliga · 2014
34€1.5M€500kfell
Emmanuel Culio
Laliga · 2016
33€500k€850krose
Paulo Assunção
Laliga · 2013
33€300k€300kflat
James Milner
Premier League · 2024
38€1.0M€500kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
14 Oct 2020LiverpoolCrystal PalaceFree / loan€8.0M
31 May 2019BournemouthLiverpoolFree / loan€15.0M
4 Jan 2019LiverpoolBournemouthFree / loan€15.0M
1 Jul 2015SouthamptonLiverpool€17.7M€17.0M
18 Jul 2012Crystal PalaceSouthampton€3.2M€2.0M
1 Jul 2008Palace U18Crystal PalaceUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.