Sergi Roberto

34 yrs · Central midfielder (also RB) · Spain
Como 1907 · Serie A · Foot: right · Height: 178 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
No index
CompareCheaper alternative
Market value
€1.4M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€424k – €1.7M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€667k – €2.2M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€391k – €1.3M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.0M – €1.8M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€424k – €1.7M
Model value (performance-implied)€667k – €2.2M
Projected value (24 months)€391k – €1.3M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.4M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Sergi Roberto's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.65x the positional average in the league (533 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceAbove average59.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable34.4 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €836k vs market €1.4M
Expected appreciationVery low-41% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.93
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €60.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
533 (16% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.14
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
60 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.93 (rank 4)
Team strength (Elo)
1589
Opponent strength
1568
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€391k – €1.3M

Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+128 Elo); relative output down 41% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -68% (IQR -78% to -47%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Small sample: 533 league minutes last season.
  • ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Como 1907Serie ACM2053316%000.000.14156815890.93
2024/25Como 1907Serie ACM1369620%010.130.23151414610.99
2023/24FC BarcelonaLaligaCM1486325%320.520.26144317231.00
2022/23FC BarcelonaLaligaRB23130238%410.350.18150716960.98
2021/22FC BarcelonaLaligaCM940012%210.680.27151316861.05
2020/21FC BarcelonaLaligaRB1594528%120.290.14158217431.10
2019/20FC BarcelonaLaligaRB30234168%120.120.07151018131.16
2018/19FC BarcelonaLaligaRB29208761%070.300.14154018731.14
2017/18FC BarcelonaLaligaRB30222765%170.320.14152618511.11
2016/17FC BarcelonaLaligaRB32238270%060.230.09157718611.11
2015/16FC BarcelonaLaligaCM31191556%050.230.13155918791.17
2014/15FC BarcelonaLaligaCM1250815%000.000.07148319151.18
2013/14FC BarcelonaLaligaCM172678%000.000.08149818091.19
2012/13FC BarcelonaLaligaCM1100%000.000.11138517701.06

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Italy CupComo 1907426410—
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueFC Barcelona5202011622
2023/24Copa Del ReyFC Barcelona312600—
2023/24SupercopaFC Barcelona2122001625
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueFC Barcelona3207021649
2022/23Copa Del ReyFC Barcelona316700—
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueFC Barcelona2119001693
2022/23SupercopaFC Barcelona279001619
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueFC Barcelona3169001746
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueFC Barcelona3182001560
2020/21Copa Del ReyFC Barcelona27300—
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueFC Barcelona6410001657
2019/20Copa Del ReyFC Barcelona218000—
2019/20SupercopaFC Barcelona190001712
2018/19Uefa Champions LeagueFC Barcelona9709001705
2018/19Copa Del ReyFC Barcelona642210—
2017/18Uefa Champions LeagueFC Barcelona8594001629
2017/18Copa Del ReyFC Barcelona850601—
2017/18SupercopaFC Barcelona2112001959
2016/17Uefa Champions LeagueFC Barcelona8632101687
2016/17Copa Del ReyFC Barcelona646400—
2016/17SupercopaFC Barcelona190001640
2015/16Copa Del ReyFC Barcelona635702—
2015/16Uefa Champions LeagueFC Barcelona8344101576
2015/16SupercopaFC Barcelona159001616
2015/16Uefa Super CupFC Barcelona157001771
2014/15Copa Del ReyFC Barcelona429721—
2014/15Uefa Champions LeagueFC Barcelona2114001485
2013/14Copa Del ReyFC Barcelona654000—
2013/14Uefa Champions LeagueFC Barcelona4114001549

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Francis Coquelin
Laliga · 2024
33€1.5M€700kfell
Lucas Biglia
Serie A · 2020
34€2.8M€700kfell
Filipe Anunciação
Liga Portugal · 2013
34€500k€200kfell
Anatoliy Tymoshchuk
Premier Liga · 2014
35€1.0M€200kfell
Asier Illarramendi
Laliga · 2023
33€2.0M€2.0Mflat
Tomas Rosicky
Premier League · 2013
33€2.0M€1.5Mfell
Vicente Iborra
Laliga · 2022
34€2.0M€300kfell
Selcuk Sahin
Super Lig · 2014
33€1.3M€300kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
23 Aug 2024BarcelonaComoFree / loan€2.5M
1 Jul 2013Barcelona BBarcelonaUnknown€7.5M
1 Jul 2010Barça U19Barcelona BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2009Barça U18Barça U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2007Barça U16Barça U18UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2006Barça YouthBarça U16UnknownData unavailable
1 Feb 2006Gimnàstic de TaBarça YouthUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Sergi Roberto · MoneyballAI