Mykola Gayduchyk

26 yrs · Striker · Ukraine
FK Polissya Zhytomyr · Premier Liga · Foot: left · Height: 188 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€1.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€434k – €1.3M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€597k – €1.5M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€472k – €1.6M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€669k – €1.1M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€434k – €1.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€597k – €1.5M
Projected value (24 months)€472k – €1.6M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Mykola Gayduchyk's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.94x the positional average in the league (1384 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 59

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average29.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.5 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €810k vs market €1.0M
Expected appreciationLow-12% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €1.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1384 (51% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.58
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.48
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
30 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1290
Opponent strength
1148
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€472k – €1.6M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 20 pts; changed club; team strength up (+158 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +12% (IQR -23% to +67%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1384 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
18 (ATT)
Relative output kept
87%–104%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
94%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FK Polissya ZhytomyrPremier LigaST30138451%900.590.48114812900.25
2024/25NK Veres RivnePremier LigaST30192171%610.330.53120911330.28
2023/24NK Veres RivnePremier LigaST28149355%330.360.58126311520.34
2022/23NK Veres RivnePremier LigaST29179767%360.450.52126512110.38
2021/22NK Veres RivnePremier LigaST250%000.000.50130613190.45

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingFK Polissya Zhytomyr6188101374
2025/26Ukrainian CupFK Polissya Zhytomyr16400—
2024/25Ukrainian CupNK Veres Rivne323011—
2023/24Ukrainian CupNK Veres Rivne27510—
2021/22Ukrainian CupFC Uzhgorod12600—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Duk
Scottish Premiership · 2024
24€1.5M€2.5Mrose
Xesc Regis
Super League 1 · 2022
26€500k€800krose
Dylan Vente
Scottish Premiership · 2024
25€800k€2.5Mrose
Aitor Cantalapiedra
Super League 1 · 2021
25€1.5M€2.5Mrose
Sito
Super League 1 · 2023
27€450k€350kfell
Yuriy Klymchuk
Premier Liga · 2024
27€900k€700kfell
Anastasios Chatzigiovanis
Super League 1 · 2021
24€2.0M€1.5Mfell
Alan Forrest
Scottish Premiership · 2024
28€750k€250kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2025Veres RivnePolissya€260k€500k
31 Dec 2021FC UzhgorodVeres RivneFree / loan€125k
17 Aug 2021Veres RivneFC UzhgorodFree / loan€100k
2 Feb 2021ODEK OrzhivVeres RivneUnknownData unavailable
24 Jun 2020FC MalynskODEK OrzhivUnknownData unavailable
6 Apr 2018Veres Rivne IIFC MalynskUnknownData unavailable
21 Jul 2017Veres U19Veres Rivne IIUnknownData unavailable
10 Apr 2017Veres Rivne U17Veres U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Mykola Gayduchyk · MoneyballAI