Tunde Akinsola
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Tunde Akinsola's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-1.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.99x the positional average in the league (2443 minutes, league coefficient 0.58). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 98
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 25.3th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €470k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | High | +19% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.58 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2443 (80% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.18
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.39
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 25 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.58 (rank 9)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1182
- Opponent strength
- 1342
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €525k – €1.7M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 42 pts; role change LW -> RW.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +64% (IQR -8% to +169%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 58 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 71%–130%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 66%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Avs Futebol | Liga Portugal | RW | 34 | 2443 | 80% | 1 | 4 | 0.18 | 0.39 | 1342 | 1182 | 0.58 |
| 2024/25 | Avs Futebol | Liga Portugal | LW | 30 | 1157 | 38% | 2 | 1 | 0.23 | 0.48 | 1361 | 1154 | 0.51 |
| 2022/23 | Real Valladolid CF | Laliga | RW | 1 | 10 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.66 | 1587 | 1372 | 0.98 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Nuhu Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 23 | €800k | €800k | flat |
| Fashion Sakala Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 23 | €1.2M | €4.5M | rose |
| Maxime Do Couto Premier Liga · 2020 | 24 | €400k | €1.0M | rose |
| Tomané Liga Portugal · 2017 | 25 | €600k | €2.0M | rose |
| Vladyslav Kulach Premier Liga · 2015 | 22 | €700k | €500k | fell |
| Samuel Armenteros Eredivisie · 2015 | 25 | €1.0M | €2.5M | rose |
| Farley Rosa Super League 1 · 2018 | 24 | €900k | €475k | fell |
| Kristof D'Haene Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 24 | €650k | €700k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2024 | Real Valladolid | Avs FS | Free / loan | €250k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Avs FS | Real Valladolid | Free / loan | €250k |
| 31 Jan 2024 | Real Valladolid | Avs FS | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Valladolid Prom | Real Valladolid | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Vasalund U19 | Valladolid Prom | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Valiant FC | Vasalund U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.