Jonatan Lindekilde
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jonatan Lindekilde's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.36x the positional average in the league (460 minutes, league coefficient 0.47). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 0th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 20.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €558k vs market €550k |
| Expected appreciation | Very high | +41% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Very High | breakout probability 47% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 460 (23% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.39
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.30
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 0 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1183
- Opponent strength
- 1217
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Very High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 47%
- Resale range (24m)
- €377k – €1.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -4% (IQR -43% to +30%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 460 league minutes last season.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 23 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 65%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Fredericia | Superliga | CM | 9 | 460 | 23% | 1 | 1 | 0.39 | 0.30 | 1217 | 1183 | 0.47 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dion De Neve Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 21 | €650k | €600k | flat |
| Nolan Mbemba Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 20 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Ahmed El Messaoudi Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 19 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Mohamed Daf Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 20 | €450k | €200k | fell |
| Mathieu Cachbach Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 21 | €300k | €500k | rose |
| Florent Sanchez Eredivisie · 2023 | 20 | €700k | €350k | fell |
| Zizo Liga Portugal · 2017 | 21 | €500k | €600k | rose |
| Taichi Fukui Liga Portugal · 2024 | 20 | €700k | €5.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Midtjylland U19 | Midtjylland | Unknown | €550k |
| 30 Jun 2026 | FC Fredericia | Midtjylland U19 | Free / loan | €550k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Midtjylland U19 | FC Fredericia | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2023 | FCM Youth | Midtjylland U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Aarhus GF Youth | FCM Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.