
Ruslan Babenko
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ruslan Babenko's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.26x the positional average in the league (2175 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Average | 46.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 34 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €78k vs market €250k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -40% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2175 (81% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 46 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1290
- Opponent strength
- 1182
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €61k – €239k
Trajectory drivers: role change CM -> DM; relative output down 58% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -40% (IQR -47% to -38%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | Premier Liga | DM | 27 | 2175 | 81% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1182 | 1290 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | Premier Liga | CM | 23 | 2060 | 76% | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 1224 | 1236 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | SC Dnipro-1 | Premier Liga | CM | 25 | 2214 | 82% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 1278 | 1335 | 0.34 |
| 2020/21 | Olimpik Donetsk | Premier Liga | DM | 22 | 1967 | 84% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.10 | 1309 | 1157 | 0.49 |
| 2018/19 | Chornomorets Odesa | Premier Liga | CM | 19 | 1665 | 84% | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.22 | 1344 | 1195 | 0.57 |
| 2017/18 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | CM | 13 | 764 | 39% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1323 | 1423 | 0.62 |
| 2016/17 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | CM | 4 | 120 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 1327 | 1414 | 0.56 |
| 2015/16 | PFK Stal Kamyanske (-2018) | Premier Liga | CM | 9 | 425 | 18% | 1 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.30 | 1365 | 1288 | 0.54 |
| 2014/15 | Volyn Lutsk | Premier Liga | CM | 18 | 1425 | 61% | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.23 | 1367 | 1260 | 0.54 |
| 2012/13 | Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk (-2020) | Premier Liga | CM | 2 | 33 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 1388 | 1514 | 0.70 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | 6 | 526 | 0 | 0 | 1398 |
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | 3 | 264 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | SC Dnipro-1 | 2 | 189 | 0 | 0 | 1463 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | SC Dnipro-1 | 2 | 173 | 0 | 0 | 1424 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | SC Dnipro-1 | 2 | 151 | 0 | 0 | 1536 |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | SC Dnipro-1 | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | Olimpik Donetsk | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Ukrainian Cup | Chornomorets Odesa | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 104 | 0 | 0 | 1542 |
| 2017/18 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 85 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Ukrainian Cup | PFK Stal Kamyanske (-2018) | 2 | 116 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2014/15 | Ukrainian Cup | Volyn Lutsk | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Goodwin Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 33 | €450k | €300k | fell |
| Hakan Arslan Super Lig · 2022 | 34 | €850k | €100k | fell |
| Alan Power Scottish Premiership · 2022 | 34 | €350k | €200k | fell |
| Rubén Pérez Super League 1 · 2022 | 33 | €1.0M | €600k | fell |
| Christian Keller Superliga · 2015 | 35 | €300k | €200k | fell |
| Juan Munafo Super League 1 · 2022 | 34 | €250k | €150k | fell |
| José Luis Valiente Super League 1 · 2021 | 30 | €400k | €175k | fell |
| Gary Dicker Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 33 | €500k | €300k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | SC Dnipro-1 | Polissya | Free / loan | €500k |
| 29 Jul 2022 | Metalist | SC Dnipro-1 | Free / loan | €350k |
| 8 Jul 2022 | Polissya | Metalist | Free / loan | €350k |
| 10 Sept 2021 | Without Club | Polissya | Unknown | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Olimpik Donetsk | Without Club | Unknown | €400k |
| 2 Sept 2020 | Raków | Olimpik Donetsk | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Chornomorets | Raków | Free / loan | €600k |
| 25 Jul 2018 | Zorya Lugansk | Chornomorets | Free / loan | €400k |
| 19 Jan 2017 | Bodø/Glimt | Zorya Lugansk | Free / loan | €400k |
| 8 Feb 2016 | Stal D. | Bodø/Glimt | Free / loan | €700k |
| 12 Aug 2015 | Dnipro | Stal D. | Free / loan | €700k |
| 30 Jun 2015 | Volyn Lutsk | Dnipro | Free / loan | €700k |
| 24 Jul 2014 | Dnipro | Volyn Lutsk | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jan 2011 | Dnipro II | Dnipro | Unknown | €25k |
| 1 Jan 2009 | Dnipro U17 | Dnipro II | Unknown | €50k |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.