Kyle Walker

36 yrs · Right-back · England
Burnley FC · Premier League · Foot: right · Height: 183 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€1.5M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€380k – €1.6M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€858k – €1.6M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€511k – €1.4M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€756k – €1.2M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€380k – €1.6M
Model value (performance-implied)€858k – €1.6M
Projected value (24 months)€511k – €1.4M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Kyle Walker's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-1.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceHigh86th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable36.1 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €507k vs market €1.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-35% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 1.3
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €50.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
3097 (91% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.06
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.15
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
86 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
1.30 (rank 1)
Team strength (Elo)
1343
Opponent strength
1611
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€511k – €1.4M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 43 pts; changed club; team strength down (-356 Elo); league level up (+59 Elo); relative output up 176% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -68% (IQR -82% to -50%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ▲Age 36: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Burnley FCPremier LeagueRB36309791%020.060.15161113431.30
2024/25Manchester CityPremier LeagueRB1596728%000.000.04160217491.23
2024/25AC MilanSerie ARB1165819%000.000.07153016250.99
2023/24Manchester CityPremier LeagueRB32276881%040.130.07156418931.14
2022/23Manchester CityPremier LeagueRB27195657%000.000.02155419151.23
2021/22Manchester CityPremier LeagueRB20175551%020.100.06158418661.17
2020/21Manchester CityPremier LeagueRB24194657%110.090.06156518831.19
2019/20Manchester CityPremier LeagueRB29239670%140.190.10158018481.14
2018/19Manchester CityPremier LeagueRB33277781%110.060.04152719241.22
2017/18Manchester CityPremier LeagueRB32278781%060.190.13153218311.15
2016/17Tottenham HotspurPremier LeagueRB33270479%050.170.13152817231.07
2015/16Tottenham HotspurPremier LeagueRB33294386%130.120.11152716351.08
2014/15Tottenham HotspurPremier LeagueRB15130738%000.000.04152015761.06
2013/14Tottenham HotspurPremier LeagueRB26229867%130.160.13155816211.12
2012/13Tottenham HotspurPremier LeagueRB36316092%050.140.11152316161.07

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2024/25Italy CupAC Milan320800—
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueAC Milan2180001572
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueManchester City2102001632
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueManchester City6505001663
2023/24Fa CupManchester City545000—
2023/24Community ShieldManchester City190001726
2023/24Uefa Super CupManchester City190001568
2022/23Fa CupManchester City539201—
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueManchester City5280001758
2022/23Community ShieldManchester City190001881
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueManchester City7578101672
2021/22Fa CupManchester City327000—
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueManchester City11982001640
2020/21Fa CupManchester City327010—
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueManchester City6443001667
2019/20Fa CupManchester City216100—
2019/20Community ShieldManchester City190001928
2018/19Uefa Champions LeagueManchester City10746001622
2018/19Fa CupManchester City540500—
2018/19Community ShieldManchester City190001667
2017/18Uefa Champions LeagueManchester City7630011664
2017/18Fa CupManchester City315300—
2016/17Uefa Champions LeagueTottenham Hotspur3270001584
2016/17Uefa Europa LeagueTottenham Hotspur2180001447
2016/17Fa CupTottenham Hotspur12200—
2015/16Fa CupTottenham Hotspur218000—
2014/15Uefa Europa LeagueTottenham Hotspur3181001586
2013/14Uefa Europa LeagueTottenham Hotspur3256011523
2013/14Fa CupTottenham Hotspur19000—
2013/14Uefa Europa League QualifyingTottenham Hotspur157001351

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Luísinho
Laliga · 2018
33€1.2M€300kfell
Fernando Navarro
Laliga · 2016
34€1.0M€100kfell
Anaitz Arbilla
Laliga · 2021
34€1.0M€400kfell
Dimitrios Siovas
Laliga · 2021
33€2.5M€450kfell
Séamus Coleman
Premier League · 2022
34€3.0M€500kfell
Weligton
Laliga · 2015
36€1.0M€500kfell
Gareth McAuley
Premier League · 2016
37€1.0M€1.0Mflat
Craig Cathcart
Premier League · 2022
33€1.2M€600kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
5 Jul 2025Man CityBurnley€5.0M€4.0M
30 Jun 2025AC MilanMan CityFree / loan€4.0M
24 Jan 2025Man CityAC MilanFree / loan€10.0M
14 Jul 2017TottenhamMan City€52.7M€30.0M
31 May 2011Aston VillaTottenhamFree / loan€2.0M
5 Jan 2011TottenhamAston VillaFree / loan€2.0M
31 Dec 2010QPRTottenhamFree / loan€2.0M
13 Sept 2010TottenhamQPRFree / loan€2.0M
1 Feb 2010Sheff UtdTottenhamFree / loan€3.0M
4 Aug 2009TottenhamSheff UtdFree / loan€50k
22 Jul 2009Sheff UtdTottenham€5.9M€50k
1 Jan 2009NorthamptonSheff UtdFree / loanData unavailable
1 Nov 2008Sheff UtdNorthamptonFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2008Sheff Utd U18Sheff UtdUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.