Bar Lin
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Bar Lin's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-1.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-3.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.63x the positional average in the league (1718 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 66
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 16.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €1.0M vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +21% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 26% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1718 (64% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.21
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.25
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 17 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1219
- Opponent strength
- 1158
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 26%
- Resale range (24m)
- €609k – €3.2M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +8% (IQR -39% to +56%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1718 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 18 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 94%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | Premier Liga | RW | 26 | 1718 | 64% | 3 | 1 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 1158 | 1219 | 0.25 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | 2 | 141 | 2 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Vargas Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 22 | €800k | €700k | flat |
| Paolo Fernandes Super League 1 · 2022 | 24 | €600k | €800k | rose |
| Bogdan Lednev Premier Liga · 2024 | 26 | €1.2M | €500k | fell |
| Sito Super League 1 · 2022 | 26 | €500k | €350k | fell |
| Andriy Remenyuk Premier Liga · 2023 | 24 | €600k | €250k | fell |
| Milos Deletic Super League 1 · 2017 | 24 | €400k | €700k | rose |
| Lasso Coulibaly Superliga · 2022 | 20 | €1.0M | €1.5M | rose |
| Alexander Bah Superliga · 2019 | 22 | €600k | €4.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | M. Tel Aviv | Kryvbas | €250k | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2026 | Kryvbas | M. Tel Aviv | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2025 | M. Tel Aviv | Kryvbas | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Hapoel Haifa | M. Tel Aviv | Free / loan | €200k |
| 15 Aug 2024 | M. Tel Aviv | Hapoel Haifa | Free / loan | €175k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Hapoel Haifa | M. Tel Aviv | Free / loan | €175k |
| 20 Sept 2023 | M. Tel Aviv | Hapoel Haifa | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2023 | M. Tel Aviv U19 | M. Tel Aviv | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.