Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| William Gomes remove | Esmir Bajraktarevic remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 20 | 21 |
| Position | Right winger | Right winger |
| Club · league | FC Porto · Liga Portugal | PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1594 | 1606 |
| League minutes | 1167 (38%) | 1062 (35%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.69 | 0.76 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 57 | 52 |
| Market value | €25.0M | €8.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €19.7M – €37.9M | €6.1M – €17.5M |
| Model value | €2.6M – €13.3M | €2.0M – €6.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €16.2M – €53.0M | €5.0M – €22.4M |
| Bargain Index | 27/100 | 55/100 |
| Development | Moderate | High |
| Breakout probability | 17% | 27% |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€19.7M – €37.9M Model value (performance-implied)€2.6M – €13.3M Projected value (24 months)€16.2M – €53.0M Dashed line: current market value (€25.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€6.1M – €17.5M Model value (performance-implied)€2.0M – €6.4M Projected value (24 months)€5.0M – €22.4M Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates William Gomes and Esmir Bajraktarevic
- Gomes has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.37 vs 0.27 per 90).
- Bajraktarevic is estimated to cost far less (€10.5M vs €31.5M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Bajraktarevic (Bargain Index 55 vs 27) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.