Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Murillo remove | Wesley Fofana remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 25 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Nottingham Forest · Premier League | Chelsea FC · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1635 | 1615 |
| League minutes | 2133 (62%) | 1726 (51%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 95 | 92 |
| Market value | €50.0M | €28.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €37.5M – €73.5M | €19.0M – €40.9M |
| Model value | €32.0M – €51.3M | €19.8M – €33.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €30.5M – €60.8M | €14.4M – €30.4M |
| Bargain Index | 15/100 | 9/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€37.5M – €73.5M Model value (performance-implied)€32.0M – €51.3M Projected value (24 months)€30.5M – €60.8M Dashed line: current market value (€50.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€19.0M – €40.9M Model value (performance-implied)€19.8M – €33.0M Projected value (24 months)€14.4M – €30.4M Dashed line: current market value (€28.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Murillo and Wesley Fofana
- Fofana is estimated to cost far less (€29.9M vs €57.7M mid-estimate).