Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Matte Smets remove | Zeno Van Den Bosch remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 22 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | KRC Genk · Jupiler Pro League | Royal Antwerp FC · Jupiler Pro League |
| League strength | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1471 | 1365 |
| League minutes | 2700 (100%) | 2470 (92%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.03 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 71 | 51 |
| Market value | €10.0M | €6.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €7.1M – €13.1M | €3.0M – €9.3M |
| Model value | €4.5M – €20.4M | €1.8M – €6.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €5.6M – €16.3M | €2.7M – €8.4M |
| Bargain Index | 54/100 | 40/100 |
| Development | High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 27% | 22% |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€7.1M – €13.1M Model value (performance-implied)€4.5M – €20.4M Projected value (24 months)€5.6M – €16.3M Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€3.0M – €9.3M Model value (performance-implied)€1.8M – €6.8M Projected value (24 months)€2.7M – €8.4M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Matte Smets and Zeno Van Den Bosch
- Bosch is estimated to cost far less (€5.7M vs €10.1M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Smets (Bargain Index 54 vs 40) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Smets Low, Bosch Moderate.