Zeno Van Den Bosch
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Zeno Van Den Bosch's performance-implied value at EUR 1.8M-6.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.0M-9.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.7M-8.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 40
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 51.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €5.7M vs market €6.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -12% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 22% |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2470 (92% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.02
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 51 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1365
- Opponent strength
- 1385
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- 22%
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.7M – €8.4M
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-77 Elo); relative output down 53% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +5% (IQR -9% to +20%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 28 | 2470 | 91% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1385 | 1365 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 30 | 2687 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 1364 | 1442 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 23 | 1323 | 49% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 1382 | 1492 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 4 | 271 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1274 | 1497 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Royal Antwerp FC | 7 | 601 | 0 | 1 | 1336 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Royal Antwerp FC | 3 | 93 | 0 | 0 | 1710 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Royal Antwerp FC | 2 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1436 |
| 2023/24 | Volkswagen Supercup | Royal Antwerp FC | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1302 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Scholz Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 23 | €4.0M | €4.0M | flat |
| Rein Van Helden Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 22 | €2.5M | €3.0M | rose |
| Bogdan Butko Premier Liga · 2014 | 23 | €1.8M | €2.0M | flat |
| Konstantinos Laifis Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 25 | €4.0M | €4.8M | rose |
| Domingos Duarte Liga Portugal · 2018 | 23 | €2.0M | €4.0M | rose |
| Dorian Dessoleil Jupiler Pro League · 2019 | 27 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
| Dirk Marcellis Eredivisie · 2013 | 25 | €2.5M | €800k | fell |
| Dimitrios Nikolaou Serie A · 2022 | 24 | €4.0M | €2.8M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Royal Antwerp | Without Club | Unknown | €6.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Young Reds | Royal Antwerp | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Antwerp U18 | Antwerp U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Antwerp Yth. | Antwerp U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Lierse SK Yth. | Antwerp Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Beerschot Yth | Lierse SK Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.