Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Deniz Gül remove | Raul Florucz remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 25 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | FC Porto · Liga Portugal | Union Saint-Gilloise · Jupiler Pro League |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.65 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1594 | 1570 |
| League minutes | 1171 (38%) | 1105 (41%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.46 | 0.81 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.29 | 0.49 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 56 | 59 |
| Market value | €5.0M | €4.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €3.4M – €8.8M | €2.4M – €6.2M |
| Model value | €1.8M – €10.8M | €1.9M – €13.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €3.3M – €13.3M | €2.1M – €7.7M |
| Bargain Index | 70/100 | 46/100 |
| Development | High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 27% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€3.4M – €8.8M Model value (performance-implied)€1.8M – €10.8M Projected value (24 months)€3.3M – €13.3M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.4M – €6.2M Model value (performance-implied)€1.9M – €13.5M Projected value (24 months)€2.1M – €7.7M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Deniz Gül and Raul Florucz
- Gül is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Florucz has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.49 vs 0.29 per 90).
- On value for money the model prefers Gül (Bargain Index 70 vs 46) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Gül High, Florucz Moderate.