Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Carlos Espí remove | Santiago Hidalgo remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 20 | 21 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Levante UD · Laliga | FC Toulouse · Ligue 1 |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.88 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1420 | 1442 |
| League minutes | 1339 (39%) | 1303 (43%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.74 | 0.69 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.72 | 0.60 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 53 | 48 |
| Market value | €20.0M | €6.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €17.1M – €31.4M | €4.8M – €14.8M |
| Model value | €2.3M – €14.8M | €1.8M – €12.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €11.9M – €40.9M | €3.4M – €18.2M |
| Bargain Index | 35/100 | 58/100 |
| Development | High | High |
| Breakout probability | 34% | 26% |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€17.1M – €31.4M Model value (performance-implied)€2.3M – €14.8M Projected value (24 months)€11.9M – €40.9M Dashed line: current market value (€20.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€4.8M – €14.8M Model value (performance-implied)€1.8M – €12.5M Projected value (24 months)€3.4M – €18.2M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Carlos Espí and Santiago Hidalgo
- Espí has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.72 vs 0.60 per 90).
- Hidalgo is estimated to cost far less (€8.1M vs €24.0M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Hidalgo (Bargain Index 58 vs 35) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Espí Moderate, Hidalgo High.