Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Lennart Karl remove | Ibrahim Mbaye remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 18 | 18 |
| Position | Right winger | Right winger |
| Club · league | Bayern Munich · Bundesliga | Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1 |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1871 | 1818 |
| League minutes | 1282 (42%) | 998 (33%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.77 | 0.45 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 86 | 74 |
| Market value | €60.0M | €30.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €46.2M – €96.2M | €23.1M – €47.8M |
| Model value | €9.6M – €108M | €8.3M – €37.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €37.2M – €111M | €25.4M – €86.5M |
| Bargain Index | 46/100 | 68/100 |
| Development | High | Very High |
| Breakout probability | 28% | 69% |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€46.2M – €96.2M Model value (performance-implied)€9.6M – €108M Projected value (24 months)€37.2M – €111M Dashed line: current market value (€60.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€23.1M – €47.8M Model value (performance-implied)€8.3M – €37.1M Projected value (24 months)€25.4M – €86.5M Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Lennart Karl and Ibrahim Mbaye
- Karl has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.27 vs 0.17 per 90).
- Mbaye is estimated to cost far less (€43.7M vs €79.5M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Mbaye (Bargain Index 68 vs 46) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Karl Low, Mbaye Moderate.