Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Ayden Heaven remove | Jaydee Canvot remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 19 | 19 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Manchester United · Premier League | Crystal Palace · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1715 | 1572 |
| League minutes | 923 (27%) | 1514 (44%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 82 | 84 |
| Market value | €30.0M | €28.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €23.6M – €48.5M | €22.8M – €46.1M |
| Model value | €8.6M – €30.4M | €11.8M – €28.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €22.7M – €65.1M | €19.8M – €44.1M |
| Bargain Index | 49/100 | 25/100 |
| Development | Very High | Very High |
| Breakout probability | 37% | 28% |
| Risk | Moderate | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€23.6M – €48.5M Model value (performance-implied)€8.6M – €30.4M Projected value (24 months)€22.7M – €65.1M Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€22.8M – €46.1M Model value (performance-implied)€11.8M – €28.1M Projected value (24 months)€19.8M – €44.1M Dashed line: current market value (€28.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Ayden Heaven and Jaydee Canvot
- Canvot was used far more by the club (44% of minutes vs 27%).
- On value for money the model prefers Heaven (Bargain Index 49 vs 25) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Heaven Moderate, Canvot Low.