Jaydee Canvot
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jaydee Canvot's performance-implied value at EUR 11.8M-28.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 22.8M-46.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 19.8M-44.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 25
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 84.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 19.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €37.0M vs market €28.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +8% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Very High | breakout probability 28% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1514 (44% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 84 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1572
- Opponent strength
- 1620
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Very High
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- 28%
- Resale range (24m)
- €19.8M – €44.1M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength up (+134 Elo); league level up (+131 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +33% (IQR -45% to +109%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1514 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Crystal Palace | Premier League | CB | 20 | 1334 | 39% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1620 | 1589 | 1.30 |
| 2025/26 | FC Toulouse | Ligue 1 | DM | 2 | 180 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1487 | 1442 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | FC Toulouse | Ligue 1 | CB | 18 | 1105 | 36% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1458 | 1437 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Crystal Palace | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Collins Premier League · 2023 | 22 | €22.0M | €28.0M | rose |
| Unai Núñez Laliga · 2020 | 23 | €16.0M | €9.0M | fell |
| Luke Thomas Premier League · 2022 | 21 | €12.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Trevoh Chalobah Premier League · 2023 | 24 | €18.0M | €25.0M | rose |
| Mouctar Diakhaby Laliga · 2020 | 24 | €17.5M | €7.0M | fell |
| Fikayo Tomori Premier League · 2020 | 23 | €16.0M | €50.0M | rose |
| Reece James Premier League · 2020 | 21 | €22.5M | €60.0M | rose |
| Mason Holgate Premier League · 2018 | 22 | €7.0M | €13.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sept 2025 | Toulouse | Crystal Palace | €23.0M | €4.0M |
| 1 Jan 2025 | Toulouse B | Toulouse | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Toulouse U19 | Toulouse B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Toulouse FC U17 | Toulouse U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | AS Bondy Yth. | Toulouse FC U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Sept 2015 | Argenteuil Jgd | AS Bondy Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.